RF2044
Living Legend
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I'm one of the more optimistic posters [in general], and given our team's play the last month--culminating in a disappointing first game loss in our inaugural ACC tournament--I'm left feeling extremely discouraged. Talk about a season that's gone of the rails in many respects. And it is hard to evaluate things objectively when the team is mired in an extended slump, but I'm going to post some thoughts / observations I've had this past month while remaining as objective as possible.
When I watched the team practice in the preseason, I came away believing that we would only go as far as the four sophomores take us. CJ looked great, Ennis looked ready, so I expected them to play like difference makers, and for the most part they have [not that they're perfect, but both had all conference type of seasons]. So setting those two aside, to me the potential of the season really boiled down to the four sophomores.
Cooney does a lot of things that go unappreciated. But the shooting slump is absurd. I KNOW that the kid is a much better player than he's shown, but at some point the numbers have to speak for themselves. He's shot like crap for two years, despite having a reputation as a shooter. I actually believe that he's going to be a great upperclassman for us and will have a nice career here in Orange, but his play since the Duke game is frustrating as hell.
Coleman gets failing grades from me. I think the kid has a great attitude and obviously has a work ethic--look no further than how much weight he's dropped since high school, and how he's improved his body. He also runs hard all the time despite being a bigger guy, and is always cheering on the bench for his teammates. That said, What is up with his inside game? Teams like Pitt always have guys like him, who play below the rim but use their physique to devastating effect and to carve out space for rebounds. I've never seen a big guy get blocked more often than Coleman, or have shots deflected by the bottom of the rim. His defense is atrocious. We could really use him providing an inside presence--think of how it would change things to have someone we could throw the ball into for inside scoring. But I have no idea what we're going to get from him next year, let alone whether he can stay healthy.
Gbinije is a flat out disappointment, in my estimation. Based upon his high school ratings and some of the film I saw from HS, I expected him to be a 6-4 or so athletic shooter. In actuality, he's a 6-6 relatively slow, relatively unathletic wing. He was asked to play out of position this year, so not all of it is his fault, but his offensive game stinks. He's not the player I thought he was, that's for sure. I'm not surprised that Duke cut ties with him.
Obligatory qualifier: I know that most of the above sounds ish, and I honestly do not want to through our players under the bus.
But in summary, if you take for granted [as I did] that CJ and Ennis would be fairly solid known commodities, then it came down to the sophomores. And of the four, we had one rise to the occasion, one do some nice things but struggle badly shooting, and two that we essentially got nothing from.
And given the attrition losses we had last offseason, with big scorers like MCW / Triche / Southerland departing, it is pretty amazing that we had the year we had, frankly. I'm just frustrated as hell that we couldn't sustain our strong play. I didn't expect to go undefeated; and clearly we had some luck to get to 25-0. But even expecting some ups and downs / losses, our play down the stretch is about as worst case scenario as it could possibly have been. There were several other factors for this:
Let's Go Orange!!!
When I watched the team practice in the preseason, I came away believing that we would only go as far as the four sophomores take us. CJ looked great, Ennis looked ready, so I expected them to play like difference makers, and for the most part they have [not that they're perfect, but both had all conference type of seasons]. So setting those two aside, to me the potential of the season really boiled down to the four sophomores.
- Grant had played well in inconsistent minutes last year, but needed to be a difference maker, as he was in Canada.
- Cooney didn't play well in inconsistent minutes last year. How would he do stepping into the starting lineup?
- Coleman was a token starter and got injured. Would he make the sophomore leap?
- Gbinije barely played at Duke. What would he bring to the table, and might he mount a challenge to Cooney?
Cooney does a lot of things that go unappreciated. But the shooting slump is absurd. I KNOW that the kid is a much better player than he's shown, but at some point the numbers have to speak for themselves. He's shot like crap for two years, despite having a reputation as a shooter. I actually believe that he's going to be a great upperclassman for us and will have a nice career here in Orange, but his play since the Duke game is frustrating as hell.
Coleman gets failing grades from me. I think the kid has a great attitude and obviously has a work ethic--look no further than how much weight he's dropped since high school, and how he's improved his body. He also runs hard all the time despite being a bigger guy, and is always cheering on the bench for his teammates. That said, What is up with his inside game? Teams like Pitt always have guys like him, who play below the rim but use their physique to devastating effect and to carve out space for rebounds. I've never seen a big guy get blocked more often than Coleman, or have shots deflected by the bottom of the rim. His defense is atrocious. We could really use him providing an inside presence--think of how it would change things to have someone we could throw the ball into for inside scoring. But I have no idea what we're going to get from him next year, let alone whether he can stay healthy.
Gbinije is a flat out disappointment, in my estimation. Based upon his high school ratings and some of the film I saw from HS, I expected him to be a 6-4 or so athletic shooter. In actuality, he's a 6-6 relatively slow, relatively unathletic wing. He was asked to play out of position this year, so not all of it is his fault, but his offensive game stinks. He's not the player I thought he was, that's for sure. I'm not surprised that Duke cut ties with him.
Obligatory qualifier: I know that most of the above sounds ish, and I honestly do not want to through our players under the bus.
But in summary, if you take for granted [as I did] that CJ and Ennis would be fairly solid known commodities, then it came down to the sophomores. And of the four, we had one rise to the occasion, one do some nice things but struggle badly shooting, and two that we essentially got nothing from.
And given the attrition losses we had last offseason, with big scorers like MCW / Triche / Southerland departing, it is pretty amazing that we had the year we had, frankly. I'm just frustrated as hell that we couldn't sustain our strong play. I didn't expect to go undefeated; and clearly we had some luck to get to 25-0. But even expecting some ups and downs / losses, our play down the stretch is about as worst case scenario as it could possibly have been. There were several other factors for this:
- Our offensive execution got exponentially worse as the season went on. Some of that is the team straying away from the concepts that underlie the plays, but a bigger part of that is the opposition figuring out the limitations of our players and taking gambles to exploit the vulnerabilities. Such as doubling Ennis when he comes off of high screens. That wasn't happening earlier in the year like it is every game now. Teams have figured that play out.
- The collective lack of team shooting is abysmal. Cooney has really faded, and Ennis has been better than expected. But CJ's dropoff from trifecta has been an awful development. As I feared when I watched him in the aforementioned preseason practice, Gbinije lacks a quality shooting stroke. And we got virtually nothing from frosh Patterson / BJ. In retrospect, I'm actually surprised that Boeheim didn't find a way to integrate Patterson into the lineup this year, given that he is physically ready to contribute, lacks a conscience, and can shoot from three. And also would have provided some more quality depth that the team lacked.
- As mentioned above, we lost a lot of key firepower from last year's team. Accounting for the pivots [Rak / Keita] not being big scorers, that meant essentially that we were forced to count on Grant / Cooney stepping up, and for Ennis to be solid. Behind them, there wasn't much. Gbinije was completely inexperienced, and the rest of the players were all incoming frosh. Generally, that's a bad formula for depth. And unfortunately, we got nothing from the frosh class. I think players like Patterson, BJ, and Roberson could be very good players down the road. But this year was a waste for the entire class.
- After last year's post season, I expected Keita to take a step forward. I want to be clear: I understand his limitations, and I wasn't expecting him to morph into a big stat guy. But he was SO good last postseason, I expected him to carry it over. And relatively speaking, he had a subpar senior season.
- Is there any doubt that we'll have some transfers this offseason? Orangeyes alluded last week to hearing rumors that Patterson is good as gone. Hope not, but we'll see. Roberson can't be too happy about his PT situation. Would he bail? I actually was very worried that BJ might split, as well, but seeing how enthusiastic his father is despite his son not playing, I don't think he'll leave. If all those players come back, then I actually think we could flash some surprisingly improved depth and outside scoring next season, if those players make the normal progressions you'd expect. But if they bail--and Roberson in particular--we're really going to be thin at forward, especially if Grant leaves. Ugh...
- I love Ennis, and think he is worthy of the accolades. But he has limitations at this stage of his developmental curve. Many of which could get rectified by him returning and working hard this offseason. We need him to come back. I'm nervous about some of the projections that show him as a top ten pick, but I question the validity of those projections, especially given our play down the stretch.
Let's Go Orange!!!
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