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[QUOTE="anomander, post: 569052, member: 2766"]
I think this is dead on.  Just look at the examples out there now.  Just look at how the best recruiting programs have performed over the past 10 years.  1 and dones, and early departures have really hurt the top programs.  Case in point
 
Kentucky - Look at this year for example.  Possibly missing the NCAA tournament after winning titles last year.  Underclassmen declaring finally catches up.
 
Florida - Back to back titles to mediocrity for a few years, and now this year finally back
 
No Carolina - Has there been a more up and down program recently.  Seem to go from FF contender one year to middle of ACC the next year.
 
Duke - Have been pretty steady, but other then title year, haven't been as dominant.
 
Syracuse - Early departures Melo, Eidlen, Green, Flynn, Fab, Dion.  We have actually been pretty consistent since Flynn left.  Bad luck got us twice, and this year we may finally be in that cyclical dip the other top teams have suffered.  If you want to call suffering top 25, and a possible 5 seed.  Point is I don't see how JB can be faulted, this is the life of the top cbb programs now a days.
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