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[QUOTE="Niastri, post: 5131878, member: 722"] The thing about BPM, in particular, is that it to accounts for things like playing time and level of competition. The fact is, even after accounting for everything mathematically, they are coming up with a 4.9 BPM, which is about halfway between all star and all NBA. One admitted weakness of BPM is that it measures offense very well, but defense less well... Naheem McLeod probably gets extra credit for his excellent block% and his excellent BPM is defense heavy, with 3.4 dBPM and 1.5 oBPM. This, of course, passes the eye test. McLeod is a great shot blocker, but not great on offense. I also couldn't find out how many possessions need to be considered before it's no longer a small sample size. In baseball, things like walk and strikeout rates stabilize in as little as 100 plate appearances, or less than 20% of a season... You can tell how good a player is at taking a walk after very few plate appearances. On the other hand, defensive stats sometimes take 2 or more seasons of defense to become predictive. McLeod played 204 minutes, which amounts to about 400 possessions... Leader boards I saw were including players after only 50 team possessions, but apparently McLeod didn't qualify for the all time leaders board for his stellar block%. In short, his BPM might not be predictive. Either way, half a season of part time play is a SSS in my mind. McLeod's BPM from previous seasons is all over the place, with his offense and defense having huge variance. He has never played starters minutes... 567 total in his time at Florida State. His whole career could be a small sample size! [URL unfurl="true"]https://www.sports-reference.com/cbb/players/naheem-mcleod-1.html[/URL] I found this deep dive into the math behind BPM interesting. [URL unfurl="true"]https://basketballstat.home.blog/2019/08/27/box-plus-minus-bpm/[/URL] [/QUOTE]
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