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[QUOTE="Orangezoo, post: 5762249, member: 237"]
A few things-

1- Accuracy of the numbers is poor given there is no consistency in terms of how this information is collected. If this were the hardline truth you would have far fewer of the top 100 transfers off the board.

2- This is primarily the top 5-10 centers that are driving the suggested increase and thus you have both position and then program skewing this not the market as a whole which makes that number very unlikely. This incentivizes the agents and schools that participate in the largest deals to push the perception of the market beyond what it is. Again without a reporting mechanism and many kids and schools that aren’t at the top 1 pct of the market to be silent on where the numbers are

3- The market stalls and weakens pretty quickly once the biggest names come off the board and agents no longer have all the leverage so even any hint of truth on the increase is temporary.

4- It’s correct it can’t persist. Louisville won’t be able to spend this kind of money every year for example especially if they don’t win. Even with corporate backing if this year they among others don’t make the FF or win it all.. that becomes a poor ROI and that won’t fly for long.

5- If we were in a poor position , we wouldn’t have the roster we do so far with room to finish it out strong.
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