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[QUOTE="Louie and Bouie, post: 4250837, member: 793"]
Interesting and well thought out article here.  Basic premise is that NIL will not dramatically change who the top tier programs are as the prior system still promoted outrageous money being spent (legally or illegally) on those programs.  Prior it was back room deals, bags, coaches and facilities where the millions were spent. Now its above board and money will flow directly to players.  The haves and have nots have always existed and will continue moving forward.

Also, the article points out how the new shiny object will not sustain the numbers currently being spent on players and the dust will begin to settle 5-10 years down the road when people see what works and what doesn't work to build/buy a championship team.

Last, there are plenty of other players (3-stars) who will play for a scholarship to fill in at the other P5 programs for them to continue to exist.

The one thing that it doesn't fully address is the transfer portal and the recruiting players on other teams. That will sting for programs like Syracuse if they find and develop talent and aren't able to retain them after they blow up (Tucker, Jones, etc.).  Guys who couldn't command NIL deals coming out of HS but develop into stars on their lower tier P5 programs.  I see that as a bigger issue than the author.

Its a paradigm shift for sure.  I agree with the author that the overall outcome won't change the winners/losers dramatically.  That was in place, in large part, due to money long before NIL.
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