Reply to thread

Message: [QUOTE="007, post: 1398948, member: 393"] Yeah, I understand how Vegas sets lines. I'm not sure what portion of the SU fan base gets to a sports book and bets the O/U. I'm sure it's somewhat of a factor; doubt it has much of an effect at all on the [B]opening[/B] line. If money pours in on one side or the other, the line will be adjusted. What is relevant is that the number Vegas [B]opens[/B] with is not arbitrary. They need to have a [B]realistic[/B] starting point based on their unbiased analysis, and then it's likely adjusted up or down a game or .5. Of course they want to create action on both sides of the number. That's always the goal. Does the betting public think that line is depressed because of all the injuries last year; SOS, etc. ? Or is national perception that SU sucks and won't win more than 4 games no matter what? An opening O/U of 4.5 suggests to me that Vegas thinks we are [B]most likely[/B] to win 4 or 5 regular season games this year. [/QUOTE]