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The Contenders - Week 11
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[QUOTE="SWC75, post: 1950184, member: 289"] The last few years at this time in the college football season I’ve begun making weekly posts called “The Undefeated”, in which I gave detailed information about the remaining undefeated teams and they tried to stay in contention for first the BCS championships game and now the playoffs. Toward the end of the season, if it became apparent that we were going to have a one loss team in the playoff, I included information about them. The information was their record, their ranking, their points against ranked teams, (see that post), the remaining schedule, including the same information for each team. I’ve decided to simply these posts by focusing on upcoming games against the teams most likely to knock them off and be contenders themselves. I won’t be providing all the stats about each team: just who they play and when that might be a big threat. I’m going to call it “The Contenders” instead of “The Undefeated”. I’m going to list each undefeated team ranked in the AP, (writer’s) top 25 and then each one loss team from any of the ‘power five’ conferences, (the ACC, The SEC, the Big 10, Big 12 and Pac 12)or that continues to be ranked. There is virtually a 100% chance that all four playoff teams will come from this group. We’ve had one two loss team play for the title since the BCS started, (LSU 2007) and they are the only two loss national champion we’ve ever had. Then I’ll list the teams also on that list that they will be playing, when and where. That way we’ll be able to look forward to the big match-ups to come on the same page. Update: I’ve decided that beginning November, (the month they’ll remember, per Coach Mac), that I would supply the same sort of specifics I’ve presented in past years for each one: the full schedule, the record, the point differential, the various rankings and appoints accumulated against ranked teams, (see my “Against Ranked Teams” post.) The rankings are the highest ranking in any of the major polls. Undefeated teams: ALABAMA 9-0 (361-119) ranked #1 / 181 points vs. ranked teams 11/12 Mississippi State 4-5 (278-268) 32 points vs. ranked teams 11/19 Chattanooga 8-1 (333-133) ranked #8 in FCS 11/26 Auburn 7-2 (313-144) ranked #9 / 93 points vs. ranked teams. They most likely would play Florida (6-2, 216-113, ranked #16/ 2 points against ranked teams) in the conference title game. CLEMSON 9-0 (347-141) ranked #2 / 46 points vs. ranked teams 11/12 Pittsburgh 5-4 (333-310) 11/19 at Wake Forest 6-3 (192-166) 1 vs. ranked teams 11/26 South Carolina 5-4 (173-191) 17 points vs. ranked teams They most likely would play Virginia Tech (7-2, 314-182 ranked #18 / 40 points vs. ranked teams) in the conference title game. MICHIGAN 9-0 (432-96) ranked #2 / 25 points vs. ranked teams 11/12 at Iowa 5-4 (239-192) 8 points vs. ranked teams 11/19 Indiana 5-4 (244-239) 26 points vs. ranked teams 11/26 at Ohio State 8-1 (403-124) ranked #5 / 117 points vs. ranked teams At this point Minnesota (7-2, 301-208) or Wisconsin (7-2, 259-209,ranked #7 122 points against ranked teams) would be the most likely team to play them in the Big Ten title game – Nebraska (7-2, 259-209, ranked #19, 16 points against ranked teams), has already lost to Wisconsin. Minnesota will play both of them. The Huskers could get in if they beat Minnesota and the Gophers beat the Badgers. The other two have their fate in their own hands. WASHINGTON 9-0 (435-153) ranked #4 / 73 points vs. ranked teams 11/12 Southern California 6-3 (288-212) ranked #20 /11 points vs. ranked teams 11/19 Arizona State 5-4 (321-329) 0 points vs. ranked teams 11/25 at Washington State 7-2 (387-222) ranked #23 / 37 points vs. ranked teams Right now they would be facing Colorado (7-2, 303-155, ranked #12 / 4 points vs. ranked teams) in the conference title game. Comments: Alabama will be favored to run the table. Florida hasn’t really beaten anybody good yet. The real threat is their old pals at Auburn, who seem to be coming on strong again. Clemson should be clear until their conference title game. Michigan will have Ohio State and probably a Wisconsin team they barely beat, in the Big Ten title game. Washington will have a rivalry game on the road vs. Washington State and then probably Colorado, another resurgent program the Pac 12 title game. Could we have an all undefeated Final Four? It’s certainly possible – and wouldn’t that be fun! But somebody will probably upset the apple cart. One loss teams: LOUISVILLE 8-1 (452-191) ranked #5 / 82 points vs. ranked teams 11/12 Wake Forest 6-3 (192-166) 1 point vs. ranked teams 11/17 at Houston 7-2 (346-195) 33 points vs. ranked teams 11/26 Kentucky 5-4 (213-233) They most likely would play Virginia Tech (6-2, 290-161, ranked #18 / 40 points vs. ranked teams) in the conference title game but they are behind and lost to Clemson in their own division. OHIO STATE 8-1 (403-124) ranked #5 / 117 points vs. ranked teams 11/12 at Maryland 5-4 (264-245) 11/19 at Michigan State 2-7 (212-271) 30 points vs. ranked teams 11/26 Michigan 9-0 (432-96) ranked #2 / 25 points vs. ranked teams At this point Minnesota (7-2, 301-208) or Wisconsin (7-2, 259-209,ranked #7 122 points against ranked teams) would be the most likely team to play them in the Big Ten title game – Nebraska (7-2, 259-209, ranked #19, 16 points against ranked teams), has already lost to Wisconsin. Minnesota will play both of them. The Huskers could get in if they beat Minnesota and the Gophers beat the Badgers. The other two have their fate in their own hands. WEST VIRGINIA 7-1 (266-165) ranked #10 11/12 at Texas 5-4 (333 -299) 39 points vs. ranked teams 11/19 Oklahoma 7-2 (397-284) ranked #9 / 14 points vs. ranked teams 11/26 Iowa State 1-8 (216-293) 12 points vs. ranked teams 12/3 Baylor 6-2 (318-200) ranked #25 The Big 12 has no title game. Power Five 2 Loss teams: Auburn 7-2 (313-144) ranked #8 / 93 points against ranked teams Baylor 6-2 (318-200) Colorado 7-2 (303-155) ranked #12 / 4 points against ranked teams Florida 6-2 (216-113) ranked #16 / 2 points against ranked teams Minnesota 7-2 (301-208) Nebraska 7-2 (259-209) ranked #19 / 16 points against ranked teams North Carolina 7-2 (308-236) ranked #13 / 33 points against ranked teams Oklahoma 7-2 (397-284) ranked #9 / 14 points against ranked teams Oklahoma State 7-2 (368-249) ranked #13/ 55 points against ranked teams Penn State 7-2 (310-230 ranked #10 / 27 points against ranked teams Texas A&M 7-2 (335-193) ranked #8 / 77 points against ranked teams Utah 7-2 (263-204) ranked #12 / 15 points against ranked teams Virginia Tech 7-2 (314-182) ranked #14 / 40 points against ranked teams Washington State 7-2 (387-222) ranked #23 / 37 points against ranked teams Wisconsin 7-2 (214-124) ranked #7 / 122 points against ranked teams Comment: If Ohio State runs the table they will crash the playoff party, (and get Michigan’s spot). Louisville is hoping a lot of things happen. They can no longer do anything about it themselves The Big 12 will have no unbeaten team and no title game and no top 10 teams. They aren’t in line for a spot in the playoffs and have no way to get there, because they are just playing each other. [/QUOTE]
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