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The Downside - Virginia
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[QUOTE="Fly Rodder, post: 4112015, member: 2133"] I think, in general, that any team with designs on doing well during the season and getting to the tournament needs to be top-40 in KenPom and top ~50* to sneak in. Syracuse is currently 70th. The best teams will score well in KP's AdjO and AdjD (either or both). But a good team can get by with a top-20 rank in one and be mediocre in the other. SU has a top-20 offense, which is great. The problem is the defense is 188th, which is among the worst for P5 teams. Only three P5 teams rank lower than SU on defense: NC State, Miami** and Georgia. The last P5 team in the top-50 with a defense outside of 100 is Iowa (115) who has the 4th ranked offense. It's hard to state just how bad SU's defense is relative to the P5 teams we are trying to (and should) beat. * due to auto bids ** Miami has a similar KP ranking to Syracuse. Great offense combined with poor-to-terrible defense. [/QUOTE]
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