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Message: [QUOTE="jncuse, post: 1638932, member: 1969"] "Luck" may be the poor moniker to place on the stat. It's merely taking a team's net efficiency per 100 possessions and calculating what an average record would be for such efficiency and schedule strength. [B]At the end of the day, the "Luck" stat will typically show you teams that have done well or done poorly in close games. Some may fairly view that as being caused by another team trait (Clutch, Stupidity, Coaching) that has nothing to do with luck. [/B] It is relevant for understanding opening odds because odds are based on efficiency of teams, rather than Win-Loss record. Which is why the Arkansas line seemed strange at first glance. I do believe it is and should be totally irrelevant for NCAA Selection. That should be about actual W's and L's. [/QUOTE]