Reply to thread

Message

[QUOTE="Forloveoforange, post: 5080946, member: 1015"]
I'll try to answer this better. Well, obviously, showing a goat next to your game of 2 doors does not change the game. That seems to be separate. You had 50-50, as you know. You either win or you lose. No option for another door. If they just open a third door, you simply don't know if you won or you lost, until they open one of your doors. Then its over.

But the three door option has been explained, and in that video, too. Any luck understanding yet why Door 2 has a 2/3 chance?

Again, the difference is that Monty used the 2/3 chance of Doors 2 and 3 and told you where the 2/3 chance is. Still stays 2/3, and Door 3 was eliminated. Its the whole non-random deal. You take the luck factor away, and that's what you have left. Full value of both doors. If you have Monty guessing which door, then the last 2 doors are 50-50, (and no need to switch choices, but ok to switch, also--wouldn't change your odds). His knowledge made it stay at 66 and 2/3%, that not only Door 2 was the right door, but of course 66 and 2/3 chance that Door 1, your original choice, is the wrong door. Non-random vs guessing. His knowledge makes the difference between 50% and 66 and 2/3%.

Hope this helps.
[/QUOTE]

Verification

What is a Syracuse fan's favorite color?