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The Monte Hall problem
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[QUOTE="Forloveoforange, post: 5082189, member: 1015"] Yes, your card experiment was random, and that is a problem. I guess you should have taken the first card away, face down, then looked at the last 2 cards and chose a red one to put face up. Then you should have moved your choice to the other card of those last 2. I don't think that you did that, did you? I mean think about what you would be doing here. Its still the same old question, and you might get it about now. It becomes quite clear you are choosing the 2 cards as opposed to your first choice. And since you are choosing 2 cards over 1 card it is so simple that the 2 cards have double the value, and double the chance of getting a black card. It really is the same as if the host asked at the beginning, "Would you like to pick one card or 2 cards?" As long as you switch you are getting the 2 cards. [/QUOTE]
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