the odds of getting drafted | Syracusefan.com

the odds of getting drafted

moqui

generational talent
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interesting blog post from Ken Pomeroy, in which he uses the admittedly small sample of DraftExpress preseason mocks to determine the likelihood of eventually getting drafted based on predicted draft position. Pomeroy is trying to predict how many 1st rounders are on the Kentucky roster this year (his best guess is 4), but I applied his chart to Syracuse players.

Jerami is predicted at 29 by Draft Express, which gives him about 75% probability of getting drafted, a 36% probability of being a first rounder, and a 10% probability of being a lottery pick.

CJ is unlisted by Draft Express; he is ranked the 56th best prospect by Chad Ford, which would be about a 42% chance of getting drafted at all; just under 9% chance of going in the first round and less than 2% chance of being in the lottery.

Tyler Ennis is 58 by Ford, which is 39%/8%/1.6%

NBAdraft.net has higher regard for the Orange; they have Jerami at 12 and CJ at 34. If their predictions had the same value in Pomeroy's system as Draft Express, Jerami would be 95% to be drafted, 75% to be a first rounder, 40% lottery. CJ would be 70%/28%/7%
 

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