the playoff now

[upperdeck]

good chance ND ends up with 1 loss.
FSu loses int the ACC title with 1 loss to Duke who ends up with 1 loss
oregon loses the pac 12 title
the whole big 12 has a 3 way tie with 2 losses
OSU loses to neb in the Big 10
SEC still has a lot of chaos left. still hope Miss/Miss st only lose to each other

no way 1 loss Neb can be in the final 4 but.. still this will be confusing.

 

[Crusty]

good chance ND ends up with 1 loss.
FSu loses int the ACC title with 1 loss to Duke who ends up with 1 loss
oregon loses the pac 12 title
the whole big 12 has a 3 way tie with 2 losses
OSU loses to neb in the Big 10
SEC still has a lot of chaos left. still hope Miss/Miss st only lose to each other

no way 1 loss Neb can be in the final 4 but.. still this will be confusing.

Duke has no defense. FSU will shred them.

 

[upperdeck]

FSU is just marginally better than the teams they have played. OSU, Clem, ND all had shots to beat them and SU had we finished off drives would have been right there too. Their D is a big drop off from last year, and the Center is really struggling now that his play has been on film.

 

[Alsacs]

Florida state has been like Rocky Balboa in Rocky 3 they don't have the eye of the Tiger this year, but they are just more talented than their opponents.
Oregon/TCU/Michigan State are fighting for that 4th playoff spot as the SEC is likely to get 2 teams from Auburn/Alabama/Georgia/Ole Miss/Mississippi State.

 

[Crusty]

FSU is just marginally better than the teams they have played. OSU, Clem, ND all had shots to beat them and SU had we finished off drives would have been right there too. Their D is a big drop off from last year, and the Center is really struggling now that his play has been on film.

Perhaps, but Duke's defense stinks. BTW winning close games are the mark of a good team. Had we finished off drives we would not be who we are.

 

[orange79]

FSU is just marginally better than the teams they have played. OSU, Clem, ND all had shots to beat them and SU had we finished off drives would have been right there too. Their D is a big drop off from last year, and the Center is really struggling now that his play has been on film.

I would give several valuable body parts to be marginally better than ND (or Clempson, for that matter).

 

[SWC75]

8 teams, with auto bids to the power five champs. Done.

 

[Alsacs]

8 teams, with auto bids to the power five champs. Done.

When the money will be their I am sure that is the direction the playoffs will head to. Especially when an SEC team gets screwed. I actually think it will go eventually 12 teams with 4 teams getting byes, and the first round games on campus before the quarterfinals/semifinals/final at neutral sites.

 

[KaiserUEO]

if you got dook beating fsu, then SU in a bowl has as close to a zero probability as there is...

 

[Alsacs]

The only team left that could beat Florida State is Louisville on the road. The Cardinals will need their defense to force turnovers and short fields, but Virginia, Miami, Boston College, Florida, Coastal Champ have little chance short of Winston being suspended to beating FSU.

Syracuse has a better chance to beat Duke than Duke does beating Florida State.

 

[Eric15]

good chance ND ends up with 1 loss.
FSu loses int the ACC title with 1 loss to Duke who ends up with 1 loss
oregon loses the pac 12 title
the whole big 12 has a 3 way tie with 2 losses
OSU loses to neb in the Big 10
SEC still has a lot of chaos left. still hope Miss/Miss st only lose to each other

no way 1 loss Neb can be in the final 4 but.. still this will be confusing.

I appreciate your thoughts, but I disagree with everything you just said.

Actually, I agree about the SEC still having a lot of chaos left.

 

[690West]

Syracuse has a better chance to beat Duke than Duke does beating Florida State.

Of course, duke is only a 1 point favorite in the dome. But, Duke is only an 8.5 point dog vs. FSU on neutral. Barely an upset if it happened

 

[SmilinBob]

The SEC west is going to be fun as the Mississippi schools play each other plus Miss St plays Bama and Bama plays Auburn and Auburn has Mississippi plus throw LSU in there for them to screw things up. The Big 12 is beating each other up as is the PAC 14. The winner of Michigan St and Ohio State and that includes that neither team loses another game other than that one.

FSU has a pretty clear road but I would not be surprised if someone beat them like Louisville. ND needs some Irish luck but if they win out they still have a shot depending on how they climb up the polls and after parsing down the other schools games they do have a serious shot at being in the final 4.

 

[CusefanATL]

good chance ND ends up with 1 loss.
FSu loses int the ACC title with 1 loss to Duke who ends up with 1 loss
oregon loses the pac 12 title
the whole big 12 has a 3 way tie with 2 losses
OSU loses to neb in the Big 10
SEC still has a lot of chaos left. still hope Miss/Miss st only lose to each other

no way 1 loss Neb can be in the final 4 but.. still this will be confusing.

we play duke... no way they only end up with 1 loss

 

[SWC75]

When the money will be their I am sure that is the direction the playoffs will head to. Especially when an SEC team gets screwed. I actually think it will go eventually 12 teams with 4 teams getting byes, and the first round games on campus before the quarterfinals/semifinals/final at neutral sites.

I hate byes. All teams should have to win the same number of games to win a tournament. I actually think byes hurt the favorite, which has to wait to play a team that's already won a game in the tournament.

 

[dinosaurbbq]

good chance ND ends up with 1 loss.
FSu loses int the ACC title with 1 loss to Duke who ends up with 1 loss
oregon loses the pac 12 title
the whole big 12 has a 3 way tie with 2 losses
OSU loses to neb in the Big 10
SEC still has a lot of chaos left. still hope Miss/Miss st only lose to each other

no way 1 loss Neb can be in the final 4 but.. still this will be confusing.

Duke is not a good team and will get killed by FSU and may not make the championship game at all. Coastal is a bit bag of smash right now, though. Long ways to go. Duke has beaten 4 truly horrible teams, Elon, Troy, Kansas and Tulane, each of which we would have beaten just as bad or worse. Duke lost to Miami and I don't know that we would have. Duke beat Virginia by a TD this week and while Virginia is much better than most expected, that still isn't a marquee win. Duke has beaten Georgia Tech, who I wish we never had to play again, and I'm pretty surprised by that, but its not as if Duke is ranked or should be. Ga. Tech lost to freaking UNC this weekend!

With all of our problems, I think we can beat Duke. I'm not saying we should beat Duke or that we'll be favored, but I could see us beating Duke. The spread won't be large. I'd guess 5 points or less.

FSU, Oregon, Ole Miss, OSU

 

[Chris02M]

The only team left that could beat Florida State is Louisville on the road. The Cardinals will need their defense to force turnovers and short fields, but Virginia, Miami, Boston College, Florida, Coastal Champ have little chance short of Winston being suspended to beating FSU.

Syracuse has a better chance to beat Duke than Duke does beating Florida State.

I agree with you!

 

[Chris02M]

playoff is likely:
OLE Miss/MISS State
FSU
2 spots for about 10 teams: Michigan State,Ohio State, Oregon, Notre Dame, TCU, Kansas State, Auburn, Alabama, Georgia,Oklahoma.
I currently rank the pack of 10 teams as such:
Oregon
Auburn
Notre Dame
Alabama
Kansas State
TCU
Georgia
Oklahoma
Michigan State
Ohio State

 

[longtimefan]

playoff is likely:
OLE Miss/MISS State
FSU
2 spots for about 10 teams: Michigan State,Ohio State, Oregon, Notre Dame, TCU, Kansas State, Auburn, Alabama, Georgia,Oklahoma.
I currently rank the pack of 10 teams as such:
Oregon
Auburn
Notre Dame
Alabama
Kansas State
TCU
Georgia
Oklahoma
Michigan State
Ohio State

Is that ranking best to worst, or most to least likely to make the playoffs?

 

[Chris02M]

Is that ranking best to worst, or most to least likely to make the playoffs?

my own ramking of best to worst of the group as of today not looking at future schedules

 

[kirbivore]

I'm not so sure Notre Dame travels to Arizona St. and USC and wins both.

 

[bpo57]

The only thing to bank on in college football is to expect the unexpected. People have FSU breezing on into the playoff undefeated. Wouldn't surprise me at all if they stub their toe. ND is far better than people first realized but there are plenty of landmines still left on their schedule. The two teams very well positioned are Sparty/OSU. Highly unlikely they lose any of their other games so that the winner of that game is in great shape. I don't see B1G being turned away at the gate even if a credible case can be made that they are not one of the four best.

 

[Chip]

The only thing to bank on in college football is to expect the unexpected. People have FSU breezing on into the playoff undefeated. Wouldn't surprise me at all if they stub their toe. ND is far better than people first realized but there are plenty of landmines still left on their schedule. The two teams very well positioned are Sparty/OSU. Highly unlikely they lose any of their other games so that the winner of that game is in great shape. I don't see B1G being turned away at the gate even if a credible case can be made that they are not one of the four best.

Agree, the Sparty/OSU winner is in, as long as they beat Nebraska in the championship game.

I still think FSU, even if they're bored, doesn't have a challenge left on the schedule.

The conference that might be left out now is the Big 12. Seems unlikely that they'll have a 1 loss team standing at the end. TCU goes to Morgantown and Baylor, K State goes to both TCU and Baylor (and has a non conf loss, albeit a good one), Baylor goes to OU, and WVU probably gave teams a blueprint.

Oregon's road isn't too hard.

And we all know the SEC story. Biggest thing to look for there, to me, is if Georgia rolls through the rest of that schedule and then wins the SEC title game over an undefeated Egg Bowl winner. Does a 1 loss conf champ get bumped? It won't be FSU getting bumped if they're undefeated. Then there is good ol' ND, but they need to win @ ASU and @ USC.

 

[Alsacs]

I don't think Ohio State/Michigan State can make the playoffs unless Nebraska is a 1 loss opponent in the Big Ten title game. Say what you will about the ACC but Florida State would have played 11 of 12 regular season games against P5+ND teams that SOS matters. Ohio State/Michigan State won't play ranked teams in conference save Nebraska for MSU and each other the committee is going to look at who you played and both B1G teams lost their toughest OOC games.

I think Sparty has an outside shot at 12-1 because of their success last year, but I think the Pac-12 and Big 12 champs have a slightly better chance.

 

[bpo57]

Good chance that the B12 and PAC12 eliminate each other. That leaves FSU, B1G, ND, SEC Champ, #2 SEC rep battling for four spots. B1G has an excellent shot because they have the easiest road to get there. They just need to remain at one loss. The conference tournament foe is not that important if MSU/OSU has one loss and so many of the other contenders have two losses.