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Message: [QUOTE="Phillymoose, post: 1315972, member: 254"] A 5 star kid out of HS is almost a certainty to dominate in college - but his development curve might peak at age 21-22. The NFL is filled with late bloomers who hit their full potential at 24-25 (or later). This 'discussion' is about the timing of development. If the ratings services were to offer a post-college rating of each kid - I would argue that the ones that gain the most stars over those 4/5 years, as opposed to the ones who start with them - - are the real NFL prospects. The 5 star kid who plays right away can help you win NC's. He might level off - but if he becomes a 4 star by the time college is over, then if I'm an NFL GM, I much prefer the 2 star kid who became a 4 star kid in college. Both (hypothetical) 4 stars. Give me recent development .. prefer him over the NC winner. IMO - this explains the phenomenon of the OP, as well as the high correlations of stars to championships in the thread. [/QUOTE]