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Message: [QUOTE="sufandu, post: 4285228, member: 874"] I don't know that this shows recency bias so much as it does the limits with using math to judge sports. The human element ensures that math formulas alone cannot explain who the best teams are. The eye test is legit. I loved that PTI mocked ESPN's BPI with regards to the NBA finals this year. It gave the Celtics an 86% chance to win and we saw how that went. And that was during a best of 7 series where the best team ultimately has a better chance to win than in a single elimination and should align more closely with metrics. [/QUOTE]