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Message: [QUOTE="SWC75, post: 4474230, member: 289"] This is the point of the season when I look at the future schedules of undefeated teams to see who has the best chance to run the table and make the playoff. When the number of such teams falls below four, I chart the one-loss teams. I limit this to ‘power’ conference teams unless a ‘Group of 5’ team is in the Top ten of either the writer, coach’s or committee’s polls. I also have two fictional bowls for the two top mid-majors, (the ‘Pesci’ Bowl, named after vertically challenged but ever-feisty character actor Joe Pesci), and the two worst teams in the country, (the Ty-D Bowl, named after the Ty-D Bol toilet bowl cleaner). For the Pesci Bowl, I’ll keep track of the undefeated Group of 5 teams until there are less than two of them. Then I look at the one-loss G5 teams. For the Ty-D Bowl, I keep track of the winless teams until there are less than two of them. Then I’ll look at the 1-win teams. Rankings are by the writers/coaches/committee- when it comes out. I’ve decided to include each team’s points “Against Ranked Teams” (ART). See that post for details on how that is computed. After WEEK 12 The Playoff contenders: GEORGIA 13-0 (509-166) ART +132 ranking: 1/1/1 vs. OHIO STATE 11-1 (534-231) ART +59 ranking: 3/4/4 Comments: MICHIGAN 13-0 (521-174) ART +86 ranking: 2/2/2 vs. TEXAS CHRISTIAN 12-1 (524-325) ART +121 ranking: 4/3/3 Comments: The Pesci Bowl contenders: SOUTH ALABAMA 10-2 (383-233) or TEXAS-SAN ANTONIO 11-2 (503-345) ART -16 rankings: 22/22/25 or TROY 11-2 (340-228) ART -13 rankings: 24/23/24 or TULANE 11-2 (458-266) ART +22 rankings: 17/14/16 Comments: Point differentials: Tulane +192, UTSA +158, South Alabama +150, Troy +112. I’ll go by point differential among the three ranked teams. That gives us: TULANE 11-2 (458-266) ART +22 rankings: 17/14/16 vs. TEXAS-SAN ANTONIO 11-2 (503-345) ART -16 rankings: 22/22/25 The Ty-D Bowl: It came down to four teams, two of them power conference teams and two not. So I decided to have two games: COLORADO 1-11 (185-534) ART -109 vs. NORTHWESTERN 1-11 (163-340) ART +15 Comments: The Buffs are in the buff, one of the worst power conference teams in years. The Wildcats were in the Big 10 title game two years ago. MASSACHUSETTS 1-11 (150-373) vs. SOUTH FLORIDA 1-11 (336-494) ART -28 Comments: UMASS’s embarrassing FBS runs, (21-103) continues. Meanwhile the Bulls are strangely bearish, (8-37 the last there years), despite their size, their location and their history of success. (Thirteen winning seasons since they joined FBS in 2000, including 21-4 in 2016-17) [/QUOTE]

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