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[QUOTE="Cusefan95, post: 4781651, member: 173"]
Part of the problem is the massive differences in talent level in high school; a kid can look great dominating lesser talent but then wash out in college.  Or not look great but actually have a lot of talent; an example would be a WR with a terrible QB -how do you evaluate that kid?  Plus you'll see little evaluation and scouting of a kid at a lesser school, so those evals are really just guesses - not a shock they are wrong a lot.

I remember going to a U-E - Binghamton playoff game years ago when Chandler Jones was playing, and watching him blow through triple teams to sack the QB or tackle the RB in the backfield.  I suspected he was really, really good - but its still hard to tell since I had no way to really evaluate how good Binghamton was.  It turns out he was really good - but I've also seen other guys I thought were diamonds in the rough that at most played special teams for their entire career.

Projecting a college player to the NFL is really hard; from high school to college is ten times harder.  Its really slightly educated guessing for the most part.
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