Tournament Field broken down | Syracusefan.com

Tournament Field broken down

Alsacs

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I how feel it looks by S-Curve
1 Seeds
1. Gonzaga-AQ
2. Baylor
3. Illinois-projected AQ
4. Michigan
2 seeds
5. Alabama- projected AQ
6. Ohio State
7. Iowa
8. Oklahoma State
3 seeds
9. Houston- projected AQ
10. Texas-AQ
11. Arkansas
12. Kansas
4 seeds
13. West Virginia
14. Florida State
15. Virginia
16. Purdue
5 seeds
17. Texas Tech
18. Tennessee
19. LSU
20. Georgia Tech-AQ
6 seeds
21. USC
22. Oregon
23. Villanova
24. Wisconsin
7 seeds
25. Missouri
26. BYU
27. Colorado
28. Clemson
8 seeds
29. Oklahoma
30. Creighton
31. San Diego State-AQ
32. Loyola-Chicago-AQ
9 seeds
33. North Carolina
34. Rutgers
35. UConn
36. Virginia Tech
10 seeds
37. Florida
38. Maryland
39. Michigan State
40.St. Bonaventure- projected AQ
11 seeds
41. Syracuse
42. UCLA
First Four.
43. Ole Miss vs. Louisville
44. Drake vs. VCU(if they lose then UCLA)

I spent time crunching the numbers this morning.

I still don’t see us in the first four.
 
I how feel it looks by S-Curve
1 Seeds
1. Gonzaga-AQ
2. Baylor
3. Illinois-projected AQ
4. Michigan
2 seeds
5. Alabama- projected AQ
6. Ohio State
7. Iowa
8. Oklahoma State
3 seeds
9. Houston- projected AQ
10. Texas-AQ
11. Arkansas
12. Kansas
4 seeds
13. West Virginia
14. Florida State
15. Virginia
16. Purdue
5 seeds
17. Texas Tech
18. Tennessee
19. LSU
20. Georgia Tech-AQ
6 seeds
21. USC
22. Oregon
23. Villanova
24. Wisconsin
7 seeds
25. Missouri
26. BYU
27. Colorado
28. Clemson
8 seeds
29. Oklahoma
30. Creighton
31. San Diego State-AQ
32. Loyola-Chicago-AQ
9 seeds
33. North Carolina
34. Rutgers
35. UConn
36. Virginia Tech
10 seeds
37. Florida
38. Maryland
39. Michigan State
40.St. Bonaventure- projected AQ
11 seeds
41. Syracuse
42. UCLA
First Four.
43. Ole Miss vs. Louisville
44. Drake vs. VCU(if they lose then UCLA)

I spent time crunching the numbers this morning.

I still don’t see us in the first four.
So you’re leaving out Utah State and Colorado State? In a perfect world that’s what would happen. But with a Mountain West guy on the committee, I worry they’re both gonna get in. Which is bullchit. But Palm seems to be trending that way now. Lunardi has Utah State in.

I also don’t see Gtown or Oregon State on your list. Are they your missing 11 seeds? (I only see you listing two 11 seeds right now.)
 
So you’re leaving out Utah State and Colorado State? In a perfect world that’s what would happen. But with a Mountain West guy on the committee, I worry they’re both gonna get in. Which is bullchit. But Palm seems to be trending that way now. Lunardi has Utah State in.

I also don’t see Gtown or Oregon State on your list. Are they your missing 11 seeds? (I only see you listing two 11 seeds right now.)
I would put utah st or col st ahead of Drake. probably UCLA too. UCLA basically beat all bad teams and avoided playing Oregon 3 times.
 
I would put utah st or col st ahead of Drake. probably UCLA too. UCLA basically beat all bad teams and avoided playing Oregon 3 times.
Jeff Greer is the best bracket predictor has is playing UCLA in a play in game. I’ll take it.
 
I how feel it looks by S-Curve
1 Seeds
1. Gonzaga-AQ
2. Baylor
3. Illinois-projected AQ
4. Michigan
2 seeds
5. Alabama- projected AQ
6. Ohio State
7. Iowa
8. Oklahoma State
3 seeds
9. Houston- projected AQ
10. Texas-AQ
11. Arkansas
12. Kansas
4 seeds
13. West Virginia
14. Florida State
15. Virginia
16. Purdue
5 seeds
17. Texas Tech
18. Tennessee
19. LSU
20. Georgia Tech-AQ
6 seeds
21. USC
22. Oregon
23. Villanova
24. Wisconsin
7 seeds
25. Missouri
26. BYU
27. Colorado
28. Clemson
8 seeds
29. Oklahoma
30. Creighton
31. San Diego State-AQ
32. Loyola-Chicago-AQ
9 seeds
33. North Carolina
34. Rutgers
35. UConn
36. Virginia Tech
10 seeds
37. Florida
38. Maryland
39. Michigan State
40.St. Bonaventure- projected AQ
11 seeds
41. Syracuse
42. UCLA
First Four.
43. Ole Miss vs. Louisville
44. Drake vs. VCU(if they lose then UCLA)

I spent time crunching the numbers this morning.

I still don’t see us in the first four.
Wow, that is a lot of work. Nice.

Some comments:

GT a 5 seed looks a bit off. Probably a 9 or 10 seed.

I looked at the top 10 bracketologists as ranked by the bracketmatrix.com and not one has Syracuse with a bye. One doesn’t have them in the field at all. The general consensus is that Syracuse is the last or second last team in.

Hope you are right about this.
 
Wow, that is a lot of work. Nice.

Some comments:

GT a 5 seed looks a bit off. Probably a 9 or 10 seed.

I looked at the top 10 bracketologists as ranked by the bracketmatrix.com and not one has Syracuse with a bye. One doesn’t have them in the field at all. The general consensus is that Syracuse is the last or second last team in.

Hope you are right about this.
Jeff Greer who is the best bracket predictor has us as a play in game vs UCLA and we would still be in if Cincy stole a bid.
 
Jeff Greer who is the best bracket predictor has us as a play in game vs UCLA and we would still be in if Cincy stole a bid.
Yes, he has us as the 3rd last team in. UCLA lost their big guy and has struggled since. I think Etienne took over. That skinny guy from Connecticut in the class of 2021 we went after hard. He graduated HS early and enrolled there for the spring semester.

UCLA has lost 4 straight. They are not playing very well.

 
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Jeff Greer who is the best bracket predictor has us as a play in game vs UCLA and we would still be in if Cincy stole a bid.

Yeah with LSU as the 6 and Houston as the 3 (Colgate as the 14 too). I’d take that in a heartbeat and would pick us to the Sweet 16.
 
I
So you’re leaving out Utah State and Colorado State? In a perfect world that’s what would happen. But with a Mountain West guy on the committee, I worry they’re both gonna get in. Which is bullchit. But Palm seems to be trending that way now. Lunardi has Utah State in.

I also don’t see Gtown or Oregon State on your list. Are they your missing 11 seeds? (I only see you listing two 11 seeds right now.)
i didn’t included AQs below the at-large field.
Oregon State is a 12 and Georgetown is a 12 or 13.

I don’t think those MWC teams have the metrics to get in.
 
I

i didn’t included AQs below the at-large field.
Oregon State is a 12 and Georgetown is a 12 or 13.

I don’t think those MWC teams have the metrics to get in.
I thought the 13-16 seeds were purely mid major conf champ . I would think gtown would get 12. Also if Gtown and OSU are going to the 12 line then according to Lunardi and Palm it shouldn’t affect us as both had moved us up to 11
 
Jeff Greer who is the best bracket predictor has us as a play in game vs UCLA and we would still be in if Cincy stole a bid.

He has Louisville in front of us. Makes zero sense.
 
I thought the 13-16 seeds were purely mid major conf champ . I would think gtown would get 12. Also if Gtown and OSU are going to the 12 line then according to Lunardi and Palm it shouldn’t affect us as both had moved us up to 11
Georgia when they won the SEC in 2008 was given a 14 seed and played 3 seed Xavier first round and lost.
 
Why are we the last team in on the bracket matrix as at large?
 
Wow, that is a lot of work. Nice.

Some comments:

GT a 5 seed looks a bit off. Probably a 9 or 10 seed.

I looked at the top 10 bracketologists as ranked by the bracketmatrix.com and not one has Syracuse with a bye. One doesn’t have them in the field at all. The general consensus is that Syracuse is the last or second last team in.

Hope you are right about this.
Georgia Tech played Virginia x2, Florida State x3, at Louisville they played a hard schedule and there early nonconference losses keep them lower than they will be IMO.

I can’t put Those 6 and 7 seeds with less resumes above a P5 champion and team with good wins.
 
I did think 10 seed before yesterday. Now I think 11, with play in obviously possible. All week things went well for us, but yesterday did hurt a bit. Fingers crossed, but I still think we are okay. Hopefully things go better today!!
 
my final s curve:
(1 seeds)
1- Gonzaga(wcc)
2- Illinois(b10)
3- Baylor
4- Michigan

(2 seeds)
5-Alabama(sec)
6-Ohio State
7-Iowa
8-Texas(b12)

(3 seeds)
9-Oklahoma State
10-Arkansas
11-Houston (aac)
12-Kansas

(4 seeds)
13-West Virginia
14-Purdue
15-Virginia
16-Florida State

(5 seeds)
17-USc
18-Tennessee
19- Colorado
20-Oregon

(6 seeds)
21-Creighton
22-Villanova
23-Texas Tech
24-Wisconsin

(7 seeds)
25-Lsu
26-Missouri
27-Byu
28-San Diego St(mwc)

(8 seeds)
29-Clemson
30-North Carolina
31-Georgia Tech(acc)
32-Rutgers

(9 seeds)
33- Florida
34-Oklahoma
35-Uconn
36-Loyola Chicago(mvc)

(10 seeds)
37-Virginia Tech
38-St Bonaventure(a10)
39-Michigan State
40-Maryland

(11 seeds)
41-Vcu
42-Louisville
43-Ucla
44-Syracuse
45- Utah State
46-Wichita State

47-68 auto bids
* had a typo where i forgot to include an at large in transfer, so ole miss is out and wichita is my last team in.
 
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