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Message: [QUOTE="jncuse, post: 5263474, member: 1969"] I'm not sure if I will keep tracking the detailed results, because I think the trends have been pretty well established and will be hard to change given that about 55-60% of OOC games have already been played including tournament season. Furthermore the NET, with 31 teams from the SEC (11), B10 (11), and B12 (9), and only 9 total from the ACC and Big East, pretty much showed what had been tracked to date. I'm going to show the various tables I update the next few posts.[B] but here are my key takeaways from OOC play. [/B] 1) SEC has clearly been the best conference and its not really debatable. Whether its eye test. quality wins, margins, head to head, they are comfortably ahead. They don't have many bad teams. Probably the best OOC by a conference in a long time. 2) If you focus on quality games and head to head, the B10 is clearly #2. That being said if you bring in margin which is the basis for NET, the B12 is right there with them, [I][U]3) Regarding the B12. The SEC leads the B12 by a large amount in all of the following : Overall Win%, Q1+Q2 (Win% and Margin), Q3 Margin. It leads by a lot in head to head play vs other conferences. [B]But the B12 leads the SEC in two things. Margin against the bottom half of Q4 teams, and overall margin against Q4. [/B]Since 50% of the games so far are Q4, it allows the B12 to stay right in line with the B10 and not that far behind the SEC, and even farther ahead of the ACC As I mentioned before strategically the B12 is doing something fundamentally different than its peers when it plays Q4 games. All conferences play lots of them, but the B12 beats them by more and it helps them significantly in NET[/U][/I] 4) Regarding the ACC - its a lost cause and I have beaten them to death above. We saw it in the NET today when so many programs came in sub 100. Its far behind the top 3 conferences in margin. In terms of wins not that far off from the B12 but behind. 5) Its also going to be a tough ride for the Big East... they also have a fair number of their 10 teams below 100. 6) I don't think the MWC will be a player for seeds like they were last year. Last year, when the NET was first released I saw an article today that they had 5 of the top 31 teams. This year they have 14, 32, 38, 60 and 66 as their top 5... a significant drop. Their bad teams are also worse. Also, I had looked at their win-loss% in detail last year by quad, so I have comparables for them This Year vs Last Year Q1+Q2: 35% vs 53% Q3: 63% vs 73% Q4: 82% vs 84% 7) I think the SEC. B10, B12 are going to get 30 teams in the tournament total. They have 31 of the top 50 in NET right now, and the NET for these conferences will only grind upwards as the teams starting benefit from playing each other. [/QUOTE]

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