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Syracuse Athletics
Syracuse Football Board
Two years ago
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[QUOTE="TheCusian, post: 2306679, member: 2585"] Found some time to check on this. This is somewhat tempo-free (though you'd assume more possessions and the amount of throwing we do now vs the SS era, TO's get affected by an increase in tempo. That's a job for someone else ;)). I also didn't run the first 4 games of the season like the OP did - mostly because the data for OOC games exists (cfbstats.com) already, to stay true to the OP I'd have to look at the play by play and piece the numbers together. I have some time, but not that kind of time. So this is just comparing OOC data. And the other big caveat is that we haven't played our hardest OOC game yet. Also there is some deviation between schedules - but we're ruthless to our HC's, so there isn't a ton of difference year to year, unfortunately. The other thing to remember is that 2015 was FHCSS 3rd year and we're looking a HCDB's first two seasons. The numbers kind of work out to what we already know and back up [USER=114]GoSU96[/USER] post pretty much. I also included last seasons OCC. [B]2015 OOC (2-2) under SS[/B] Total O: 5.11 ypp, #104 (#14 in the ACC) Total D: 6.00 ypp, #97 (#12 in the ACC) TO margin: 0.25, #56 (#5 in the ACC) [B]2016 OOC (2-2) under DB[/B] Total O: 6.06 ypp, #50 (#7 in the ACC) Total D: 5.92 ypp, #96 (#13 in the ACC) TO margin: -0.50, #96 (#11 in the ACC) [B]2017 OOC (2-1) under DB[/B] Total O: 5.56 ypp, #84 (#9 in the ACC) Total D: 4.43 ypp, #30 (#5 in the ACC) TO margin: 0.00, #64 (#9 in the ACC) - Improvements everywhere, even in the hard nosed defense dept - year over year. We gave up a crapton more points in Dino's first year compared to SS's last. But a lot of that was giving up big pass plays and an increase in tempo/possesssions. - The defense appears to have taken the jump that DB has called for in year 2. That's a good sign. LSU might drop a bunch on us, but given their struggles and our improvements, it's more unlikely than it was. We should be a touch bullish on the D, even if Clemson and Louisville hangs 40 on us, IMO. Could be fun for teams that struggle on O (looking at you Pitt and BC). - The offense is lagging from last years numbers, but how much of that is a weird game vs a former HC and how much is missing AET and Estime? Do we see the 1.5 year bump or does our OL and lack of a running game slow that progress until the end of the year (still looking at you BC)? - Overall, steady improvement is good. The bump in recruiting hasn't really made a difference yet, but I think it will next season. I still think we can win 6 (CCSU, CMU, PITT, BC, WAKE, and NC State), but 5 is more likely. Wake looks like a tougher hike than PITT (go Atlantic :() and NC State looks more vulnerable that I originally thought (though they will be favored at home). [/QUOTE]
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