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Update on our Tourney Chances
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[QUOTE="orange79, post: 2588949, member: 159"] Great write-up, Jeremy! Re: Villanova. If you go by the LaxPower RPI (which is as good as any and updated daily, if not more frequently), we look a little better vs. Nova today than before yesterday's action started. With their RPI (which usually tracks very well with the NCAA's version), we remain 12 while Nova is down to 11 - so essentially a wash there. The real moves come from the Top x wins. Based on RPI, the comparison now looks like this: [U]Syracuse[/U] RPI: 12 Top 5 Wins: Duke (4), Notre Dame (2) Top 10 Wins: Virginia (9) Top 20 Wins:None (Man, a win over #16 Navy would look good here) [U]Villanova[/U] RPI: 11 (down from 9) Top 5 Wins: None Top 10 Wins: Yale (6), Penn (10 - and likely to move down if they lose to Yale) Top 20 Wins: Penn State (20 - and could move out of the Top 20 totally due to the dependence on wins and losses of teams still playing) So, best case scenario, Duke and ND stay in the Top 5, and Virginia remains Top 10. Yale beats Penn to move into the Top 5, but Penn moves down a notch. That leaves SU with 2 Top 5 wins and a Top 10. Nova has 1 Top 5 and 2 (or possibly 1 if Penn State drops a spot) Top 20. No-brainer in terms of comparison. Just my thoughts. [/QUOTE]
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