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[QUOTE="jetsqb101, post: 1430580, member: 1770"]
As for the Duke discussion, they rank 36th on the Per-Tournament difference list. This is only a measure of how much you would expect them to over or under perform their seed.

The Expected Wins list is designed to display something closer to what you're talking about as it shows the most dominant teams of the era. On that list Duke comes in first with [70.2581 wins], such an impressive number that if you were to combine Syracuse's success [41.2661 wins] with Florida's success [28.4032 wins] they would still have less expected of them than Duke alone. I've typed out the top six below to show that Kansas is really the only school sniffing at them, and if you'd like to look at the full list of Expected Wins Rankings it is provided [URL='http://marchstatistics.com/wp/?page_id=164']here[/URL].

1. [70.2581 wins] Duke
2. [65.3387 wins] Kansas
3. [59.7984 wins] North Carolina
4. [52.3548 wins] Kentucky
5. [49.3871 wins] Arizona
6. [41.2661 wins] Syracuse
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