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Message: [QUOTE="jncuse, post: 2104325, member: 1969"] Way too many moving parts to assess what would happen if we lost to Miami. The odds are certainly not NIL or close to it. What it really depends is where we are on the s-curve as of today. If we are the 5th last team in as of now in their view, it will be hard to be caught. If we are 2nd last team in, it will be easy to be caught. If we beat Miami I have it as 95%. We have too many warts to 100% count on the committee making that judgment. [/QUOTE]