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Message: [QUOTE="Knicks411, post: 2025138, member: 767"] To follow up on my last post, the last four in last year (and remember, there was a hell of a lot of controversy with some of these teams) were Michigan Tulsa Wichita State Vandy Eyeballing their KP page, so I hope i don't miss anything, Michigan beat Texas on a neutral, Maryland at home, Purdue at home, and indiana on a neutral. So 4 wins over tournament teams. Texas was a 6, the other 3 were 5's. Tulsa got Wichita State (last four) at home, Uconn (9 seed), plus SMU, who wasn't eligible, but was a 4 or 5 seed type team I'd think. Vandy got A&M at home (3) and Kentucky (4) at home. I'd throw out Wichita State (not going to bother lookign them up) and Tulsa, the model is more Michigan or Vandy, the power conference team who plays a lot of good teams. Vandy only had 2 wins over tourny teams, Michigan had 4. We could have more, but we're also going to have some rough losses that we need to offset. (I eat this stuff up, so apologize for any rambling) It's also worth pointing out all "wins over tournament teams" aren't created equal. The two we just added are relatively low value. You can basically break the remaining schedule into these groups, the way I see it Games against bad teams (3) home BC and Ga tech, @ Ga tech. Keeping in mind BC blitzed us, these are 3 games we have to win. Road games against good but not great teams (5) Nc State, Clemson, Pitt, Virginia Tech, Notre Dame. It's looking like 4 of these 5 are going to make the tournament. Home games against good teams: (4) Louisville, Duke, Virginia, Florida State. Road games against really good competition: (2) Unc, Louisville. That covers all but one of our remaining games, not really sure where to put Wake at home, that's another game that has to be a win, but they're much better than BC or Ga Tech. Those 9 games in the middle are going to be the key, how many of those 9 can you get? @UNC and @Louisville are going to be super tough, so you probably need like 4 or 5 of those middle 9 to really get in the conversation. [/QUOTE]

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