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[QUOTE="sufandu, post: 2490226, member: 874"]
I see three games we should absolutely win this coming year, WMU, Wagner, and UConn. Who should we comsider on the same level as us going into the year, Pitt and BC? Everyone else seems to be one step ahead of us. Hopefully the QB losses at WF and Louisville bring them back to us a bit. But we likely need to win 3 out of those 4 to get to 6. How do we evaluate UNC? Are they really a 3-9 team we should see as a peer or are they a team that gets healthy and may be that one step ahead of us. Then there are the likely losses of Clemson, FSU, and ND. Clemson is Clemson, can we really take them down two years in a row? Does FSU stumble out of the gates with a new coach or is he a guy that injects new energy into a talented roster with it's NFL qb returning from injury? Then there is Notre Dame, who should have a lot more talent than us.

If things break our way with us staying healthy and some other teams falling off I could see 8 wins (the three underdogs, Pitt and BC, UNC, either Louisville or NC State, and an unexpected upset of the big 3). If the teams we hope come back to us keep progressing and the big dogs don't miss a beat, I'd be disappointed but hopeful in the direction of the program with 5 wins.

I'm far from a guru but my gut says 60/40 odds against us getting to 6-6 this year.
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