For the record, I think Holgorsen stays there after this year. WVU will be better than last year just due to Clint Trickett being in the system for a full year. Its tough to find wins on that schedule, though. WVU will beat Towson, Kansas and TCU. Possible additional wins are Maryland (who spanked WVU last year and will be better this year and at home), Texas Tech, Kansas St., and Iowa State. If they go to a bowl at 6-6, Holgorsen stays. If they win 4 games he's definitely out. Win 5 and its a close call, but probably gone.
As for the next coach, there is a decent chance that Rich Rodriguez comes back to WVU if Holgorsen goes. Don't be surprised. I wouldn't allow it if I were WVU just due to his actions when he left for Michigan (which I've detailed plenty in prior threads), but there are a lot of people here in West Virginia that would welcome him back.