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Message: [QUOTE="Millhouse, post: 2012348, member: 78"] the charts can tell you the breakeven probabilities and then you can use that precious brain injury experience to determine whether you have those odds of success. and you should also consider the odds of what alabama's offense will do to you when they have the ball. but there is an inverse relationship between thinking about that and belt size most of the dumbest punting decisions reveal that either the coach doesn't think about probabilities or that he thinks his offense has a completely unreasonably low chance of success. baseball teams face different competition and you said before that the numbers work in that sport. [/QUOTE]