Where do we stand? S&P+ Week 9

[TheCusian]

Based on S&P+ by Bill Connelly, which you can read about in depth here. It's basically:

It can be used to make predictions, similar to the analytics systems Vegas uses. It is, at its heart, a tempo- and opponent-adjusted measure of what college football teams can most consistently do to win football games (efficiency, explosiveness, field position, finishing drives, and turnovers)

#130 UCONN (1-7)
Finished #119 Overall in 2017
Current Ranking (Previous Week): #130 (#130)
UCONN O (Previous Week): #86 (#67) -19
UCONN D (Previous Week): #129 (#130) +1
UCONN ST (Previous Week): #41 (#60) +19
Syracuse Postgame win expectancy: 100%

#99 LOUISVILLE (2-6)
Finished #16 Overall in 2017
Current Ranking (Previous Week): #99 (#97) -2
Louisville O (Previous Week): #99 (#106) +7
Louisville D (Previous Week): #99 (#82) -17
Louisville ST (Previous Week): #30 (#27) -3
Win Probability (Previous Week): 79% (76%) +3%

#91 UNC (1-6)
Finished #94 Overall in 2017
Current Ranking (Previous Week): #91 (#90) -1
UNC O (Previous Week): #97 (#101) +4
UNC D (Previous Week): #82 (#65) -17
UNC ST (Previous Week): #55 (#36) -19
Syracuse Postgame win expectancy: 84%

#88 WAKE FOREST (4-4)
Finished #37 Overall in 2017
Current Ranking (Previous Week): #88 (#98) +10
Wake Forest O (Previous Week): #59 (#89) +30
Wake Forest D (Previous Week): #102 (#100) -2
Wake Forest ST (Previous Week): #87 (#86) -1
Win Probability (Previous Week): 62% (66%) -4%

#85 WESTERN MICHIGAN (6-3)
Finished #74 Overall in 2017
Current Ranking (Previous Week): #85 (#74) -9
Western Michigan O (Previous Week): #28 (#33) +5
Western Michigan D (Previous Week): #105 (#101) -4
Western Michigan ST (Previous Week): #129 (#129)
Syracuse Postgame win expectancy: 53%

#80 PITT (4-4)
Finished #82 Overall in 2017
Current Ranking (Previous Week): #80 (#87) +7
PITT O (Previous Week): #49 (#76) +27
PITT D (Previous Week): #98 (#89) -9
PITT ST (Previous Week): #68 (#104) +36
Syracuse Postgame win expectancy: 16%

#68 FLORIDA STATE (4-4)
Finished #43 Overall in 2017
Current Ranking (Previous Week): #68 (#57) -11
Florida State O (Previous Week): #111 (#109) -8
Florida State D (Previous Week): #29 (#21) -8
Florida State ST (Previous Week): #96 (#96)
Syracuse Postgame win expectancy: 98%

#51 SYRACUSE (6-2)
Finished #88 Overall in 2017
Current Ranking (Previous Week): #51 (#52) +1
Syracuse O (Previous Week): #30 (#49) +19
Syracuse D (Previous Week): #81 (#62) -19
Syracuse ST (Previous Week): #1 (#1)

#38 BC (6-2)
Finished #66 Overall in 2017
Current Ranking (Previous Week): #38 (#44) +6
BC O (Previous Week): #69 (#57) -12
BC D (Previous Week): #32 (#40) +8
BC ST (Previous Week): #88 (#46) -42
Win Probability (Previous Week): 39% (40%) -1%

#35 NC STATE (5-2)
Finished #38 Overall in 2017
Current Ranking (Previous Week): #35 (#34) -1
NC State O (Previous Week): #31 (#53) +22
NC State D (Previous Week): #49 (#33) -16
NC State ST (Previous Week): #119 (#122) +3
Syracuse Postgame win expectancy: 71%

#6 NOTRE DAME (8-0)
Finished #13 Overall in 2017
Current Ranking (Previous Week): #6 (#7) +1
Notre Dame O (Previous Week): #34 (#41) +7
Notre Dame D (Previous Week): #6 (#5) -1
Notre Dame ST (Previous Week): #56 (#48) -8
Win Probability (Previous Week): 23% (24%) -1%

#2 CLEMSON (8-0)
Finished #8 Overall in 2017
Current Ranking (Previous Week): #2 (#2)
Clemson O (Previous Week): #13 (#11) -2
Clemson D (Previous Week): #2 (#2)
Clemson ST (Previous Week): #67 (#77) +10
Syracuse Postgame win expectancy: 9%

 

[DNABB5]

Clemson scored 59 @ Florida St. and their offense lost two spots??????

I don't trust this.

 

[TheCusian]

Clemson scored 59 @ Florida St. and their offense lost two spots??????

I don't trust this.

It can be a lot of things. Straight score lines don’t give us all the info about an offense. It could just be 2 teams did better against teams with better defenses.

I’d also note that #13 and #10 is really good - 49+ points vs a top 30 D good. (FSU’s D dropped 8 spots, too)

 

[Whitey23]

It can be a lot of things. Straight score lines don’t give us all the info about an offense. It could just be 2 teams did better against teams with better defenses.

I’d also note that #13 and #10 is really good - 49+ points vs a top 30 D good. (FSU’s D dropped 8 spots, too)

Looking forward to your recap this week. Cuse dropped like a rock! Wake's postgame win prob was 73.7%!