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Message: [QUOTE="OrangeYaGladi, post: 2952857, member: 2012"] Let's try the math. I'll give SU a 15 percent chance in each individual game vs Duke, UNC, and Virginia. This may be generous, but it leads to [B]0.003. One-third of 1 percent to win the ACC tourney.[/B] In the NCAA, I'll give SU a 55 percent chance in the first round, a 15 percent chance in second round (vs 1 seed)...then randomly a 30 percent, 25 percent, 20 percent, and 15 percent chance in the other 4 games. [B]=0.0002. Two-hundredths of 1 percent to win NCAAs. [/B] [/QUOTE]