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[QUOTE="BlazeOrange, post: 21310, member: 683"]
The B1G 10 and Pac-12 (two traditionally conservative conferences) have made major moves going to 12 teams this year.  Their recent focus has been on revamping schedules to accomodate the additions (in all sports) and they haven't even played their first conference championship game yet.  With all of those moving parts, while they will of course look at further expansion, I think they would be reluctant to get bigger right now unless UT or ND are involved and it can be accomplished smoothly.

The only conferences to go beyond 12 teams are those that have already been at this point for several years, so 12 to 14 isn't such a seismic shift.  They stay ahead of the curve while retaining room for one (or two) of the big boys who are being courted by everyone.  Once they get to 16, it is over for them, so I don't see them jumping the gun just to fill the space until they're sure that the Irish, Longhorns, maybe Sooners are no longer an option.

The rest are feeder conferences and there is only one opening for sure in the short term, unless the Missou rumours are true for the first time in all of this.  Once the SEC evens out, I'd expect the Big 4 to take a breather for a while (like a year or so) and the only movement will be the minor conferences shoring up their losses.  All of these teams are on the Wait List until the next big shift, where we might actually see the 4x16 form.

If I'm right, it puts us in a sweet position of having a recruiting season or more jump on our local competition who will be left twisting for a bit until they are ultimately picked up.
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