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Why Boston College Will Win
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[QUOTE="SWC75, post: 5228291, member: 289"] - Because they are better than their 4-4 record and we aren’t as good as our 6-2 and the game is in their place. BC has played two top ten teams on the road, won one game and almost won the other. (Yeah, I know, those top ten teams aren’t top ten teams anymore but if we are going to claim to have beaten two top 25 teams…) They have losses by 6, 10 and 4 points. We have wins by 3, 3, 7 and 7 points, two in overtime. - This series was once 25-14 for SU. Since 1999 it’s been 9-9. They have bene the better program in the ACC, with 13 winning seasons, 5 losers and 1 even since they joined in 2005. SU is 4-7 since joining in 2013. - They run the ball better, which allows them to pass it more efficiently and maintaining a +4 advantage in turnovers. We are minus 3 because we have to throw the ball more. - They defend the pass better than we do and cover kicks better. - Like everyone else, the kick field goals better, a continuing embarrassment to “Kicker U”. They are 16 for 19 with a long of 56 yards. That’s huge in a close game. - We just have too many leaks on defense and special teams to be confident in our team. Believe me, I’d love to brag about them, but I can’t yet. Stats that favor Boston College (21): OFFENSIVE RUSHING YARDS SU- 95.25 BC – 158.40 OFFENSIVE AVERAGE ON RUNNING PLAYS (- sacks) SU- 4.00 BC – 4.56 OFFENSIVE PASSING YARDS PER COMPLETION SU- 11.35 BC – 13.08 OFFENSIVE PASSING YARDS PER ATTEMPT SU- 7.21 BC – 8.16 OFFENSIVE PASSING EFFICIENCY SU- 135.87 BC – 157.15 TACKLES FOR A LOSS ALLOWED SU- 45 BC - 40 BLOCKED KICKS ALLOWED SU- 5 BC - 0 SCORING DEFENSE SU- 27.50 BC – 22.00 DEFENSIVE AVERAGE ON RUNNING PLAYS (- SACKS) SU – 5.50 BC – 4.63 DEFFENSIVE PASSING YARDS PER ATTEMPT SU- 7.47 BC – 7.11 DEFENSIVE PASSING EFFICIENCY SU- 141.77 BC – 121.91 DEFENSIVE COMPLETION PERCENTAGE SU- 67.10 BC – 60.47 OPPONENT KICKOFF RETURNS SU- 20.33 BC – 15.53 OPPONENT PUNT RETURNS SU- 10.10 BC – 3.57 OPPONENT PUNTS RETURNED SU- 13/34 = 38.24% BC – 7/38 = 18.42% FIELD GOAL PERCENTAGE SU- 6/12 = 50.00% BC – 16/19 = 84.21% LONGEST FG SU- 44 BC - 56 40 YARDS + SU- 1/6 = 16.67% BC – 3/5 = 60% TURNOVER MARGIN SU- 13/10 = -3 BC – 12/16 = +4 PENALTIES SU- 7.25/60.75 BC – 4.50/60.80yds STRENGTH OF SCHEDULE SU- 65 BC - #53 The Eagles run the ball better than we do. Their passing game is less prolific but more efficient. They haven’t allowed any blocks. They give up fewer points, stop the run better, defend passes better, cover punts better, kick field goals better, have more takeovers, commit fewer penalties and have played a stronger schedule so far. That doesn’t sound too good. [/QUOTE]
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