SWC75
Bored Historian
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- Aug 26, 2011
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- I took a dive into the stats to see how we compared to big, bad Clemson.
SCORING OFFENSE S- 36 C- 39
TOTAL OFFENSIVE YARDS S- 432 C-417
OFFENSIVE RUSHING YARDS S- 188.5 C- 170
OFFENSIVE PASSING YARDS S- 243 C- 247
OFFENSIVE PASSING EFFICIENCY S- 168 C- 150
OFFENSIVE 3RD AND 4TH DOWN PERCENTAGE S- 47 C- 48
OFFENSIVE RED ZONE POINTS S – 129in28 = 4.6 C- 183in35 = 5.2
SACKS ALLOWED S- 13 C- 12
SCORING DEFENSE S- 13 C- 20
TOTAL DEFENSIVE YARDS S- 269 C- 338
DEFENSIVE RUSHING YARDS S- 95 C- 83
DEFENSIVE PASSING YARDS S- 174 C- 256
DEFENSIVE PASSING EFFICIENCY S- 119 C- 124
DEFENSIVE THIRD AND FOURTH DOWN PERCENTAGE S- 37 C-36
DEFENSIVE RED ZONE POINTS S- 45in12 = 3.8 C- 87in22 = 4.0
SACKS S- 16 C- 17
TACKLES FOR A LOSS S- 40 C- 57
OFFENSIVE KICKOFF RETURNS S- 26 C- 26
DEFESNIVE KICKOFF RETURNS S- 21 C- 17
KICKOFFS THAT WERE RETURNED S- 15/43 = 35% C- 8/42 = 19%
PUNT RETURNS S- 6 C- 5
NET PUNTING S- 37 C- 37
FIELD GOAL PERCENTAGE S- 11/12 = 91.7 C- 13/15 = 86.7
EXTRA POINTS MISSED S- 0 C- 0
TURNOVER MARGIN S- +3 C- +8
PENALTIES S- 57/422yds C- 44/412yds
The two teams seem like twins, except for a few items:
- We are giving up 174 yards passing per game. They are giving up 256. “well, against that Clemson defensive line, you’d have to pass more. Except we are giving up 95 yards rushing per game to their 83, not such a difference that the other teams would be forced into more passes against them. Also, our margin of victory is greater than theirs: +23 points vs. +19. They lost three starters in the secondary last year. They also lost Brent Venables, their legendary DC. It’s the reason they are giving up 59 yards and 7 points a game more than we are.
- Clemson has it’s advantages, too: We’ve done very well on kickoffs but they’ve had half as many returned on them than we have. Despite our aggressive defense, they have 17 more TFLs, although they’ve played 7 games to our 6. They also have a greater turnover margin and with the carelessness we’ve seen from Shrader’s passing in recent games, that may well continue. Still, I think the difference in pass defense is the biggest factor on the board.
- We’ve played Connecticut and Wagner but the Tigers have played Furman and Louisiana Tech. They have the most significant victory- in overtime at Wake Forest. We have the Purdue game. The one common opponent is NC State: they beat them 30-20 to our 24-9. Of course, Devin Leary played against them, not against us. Their other wins have been against Georgia Tech, Boston College and Florida State. We are clearly better than the first two and State jumped out to a 14-7 lead, then came back to make it close, 28-34. I see nothing in this that suggests our game won’t be competitive – and if you can stay in it, you can win it.
- Our team has great leadership and togetherness and, as Dino Babers said in answer to this week’s question, they are aware that it’s hard for a school like Syracuse to get into a situation like this and they understand they’ve got to take full advantage of it. That 14-point spread will be duly noted. Also, as Matt Park pointed out, we’ve had Shrader looking to the bench for instructions much less frequently than in past seasons. Crowd noise may not be the factor against us that it can be against other teams.
- We’ve been winning by an average of 36-13. They’ve been winning by an average of 39-20. You take our offensive average and add their defensive average and divide by two. Then you do the same with their offensive average and our defensive average and you get the most likely final score. 36 + 20 = 56 /2 = 28. 39 + 13 = 52 /2 = 26. 28-26. Done.
- We’ll take a 10-win season when we can no longer get an 11 win season. Not before.
6-0 and 6+ to go!
LET’S GO ORANGE!!!
SCORING OFFENSE S- 36 C- 39
TOTAL OFFENSIVE YARDS S- 432 C-417
OFFENSIVE RUSHING YARDS S- 188.5 C- 170
OFFENSIVE PASSING YARDS S- 243 C- 247
OFFENSIVE PASSING EFFICIENCY S- 168 C- 150
OFFENSIVE 3RD AND 4TH DOWN PERCENTAGE S- 47 C- 48
OFFENSIVE RED ZONE POINTS S – 129in28 = 4.6 C- 183in35 = 5.2
SACKS ALLOWED S- 13 C- 12
SCORING DEFENSE S- 13 C- 20
TOTAL DEFENSIVE YARDS S- 269 C- 338
DEFENSIVE RUSHING YARDS S- 95 C- 83
DEFENSIVE PASSING YARDS S- 174 C- 256
DEFENSIVE PASSING EFFICIENCY S- 119 C- 124
DEFENSIVE THIRD AND FOURTH DOWN PERCENTAGE S- 37 C-36
DEFENSIVE RED ZONE POINTS S- 45in12 = 3.8 C- 87in22 = 4.0
SACKS S- 16 C- 17
TACKLES FOR A LOSS S- 40 C- 57
OFFENSIVE KICKOFF RETURNS S- 26 C- 26
DEFESNIVE KICKOFF RETURNS S- 21 C- 17
KICKOFFS THAT WERE RETURNED S- 15/43 = 35% C- 8/42 = 19%
PUNT RETURNS S- 6 C- 5
NET PUNTING S- 37 C- 37
FIELD GOAL PERCENTAGE S- 11/12 = 91.7 C- 13/15 = 86.7
EXTRA POINTS MISSED S- 0 C- 0
TURNOVER MARGIN S- +3 C- +8
PENALTIES S- 57/422yds C- 44/412yds
The two teams seem like twins, except for a few items:
- We are giving up 174 yards passing per game. They are giving up 256. “well, against that Clemson defensive line, you’d have to pass more. Except we are giving up 95 yards rushing per game to their 83, not such a difference that the other teams would be forced into more passes against them. Also, our margin of victory is greater than theirs: +23 points vs. +19. They lost three starters in the secondary last year. They also lost Brent Venables, their legendary DC. It’s the reason they are giving up 59 yards and 7 points a game more than we are.
- Clemson has it’s advantages, too: We’ve done very well on kickoffs but they’ve had half as many returned on them than we have. Despite our aggressive defense, they have 17 more TFLs, although they’ve played 7 games to our 6. They also have a greater turnover margin and with the carelessness we’ve seen from Shrader’s passing in recent games, that may well continue. Still, I think the difference in pass defense is the biggest factor on the board.
- We’ve played Connecticut and Wagner but the Tigers have played Furman and Louisiana Tech. They have the most significant victory- in overtime at Wake Forest. We have the Purdue game. The one common opponent is NC State: they beat them 30-20 to our 24-9. Of course, Devin Leary played against them, not against us. Their other wins have been against Georgia Tech, Boston College and Florida State. We are clearly better than the first two and State jumped out to a 14-7 lead, then came back to make it close, 28-34. I see nothing in this that suggests our game won’t be competitive – and if you can stay in it, you can win it.
- Our team has great leadership and togetherness and, as Dino Babers said in answer to this week’s question, they are aware that it’s hard for a school like Syracuse to get into a situation like this and they understand they’ve got to take full advantage of it. That 14-point spread will be duly noted. Also, as Matt Park pointed out, we’ve had Shrader looking to the bench for instructions much less frequently than in past seasons. Crowd noise may not be the factor against us that it can be against other teams.
- We’ve been winning by an average of 36-13. They’ve been winning by an average of 39-20. You take our offensive average and add their defensive average and divide by two. Then you do the same with their offensive average and our defensive average and you get the most likely final score. 36 + 20 = 56 /2 = 28. 39 + 13 = 52 /2 = 26. 28-26. Done.
- We’ll take a 10-win season when we can no longer get an 11 win season. Not before.
6-0 and 6+ to go!
LET’S GO ORANGE!!!
