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Winning Plays- Boston College
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[QUOTE="SWC75, post: 4469267, member: 289"] This season I will once again be charting Syracuse’s games in terms of “winning plays”. I look at the results of each play and decide which team got the minimum they wanted out of the play. Rather than making instinctive judgments, I use a formula: - On first down, the offensive team wants to get at least a third of the way to a new first down: they will have two more plays before they might have to surrender the ball and if they gain that same amount of yards on each of those two plays, they’ll get the first down. If they don’t make it a third of the way to a new first down, the defense won the play. - On second down, the offense wants to get at least halfway to a new first down by the same logic. - On third and fourth down, they want to get the first down. - Penalties, if added onto a play by the referees, are added on to the results above. If the offense gains 5 yards on first down but there was holding and they lost yardage instead, the defense won the play. If a running back made a 25 yard run on first and ten and the holding was 20 yards downfield, turning it into a 5 yard gain, that’s still a win for the offense. If the defense is penalized and it’s tacked on, again the net result is what is evaluated. The penalties I’ve listed negated the play entirely and are a “loss” for the penalized team and thus a win for their opponent. - If a penalty was not tacked onto a play, it’s a lost play for the team being penalized. I'll count them separate from the other plays from scrimmage because I don't know if the intended play before the penalty would have been a run or a pass - so I wouldn't know where to put it in the chart below. - A turnover is, obviously, a win for the team that wound up with the ball. - On a kick-off a touchback brings the ball out to the 25 yard line. Teams still seem to be trying to kick the ball into the end zone and avoid a runback if they can, so any kick-off that results in the receiving team starting between their goal line and their 25 is a win for the kicking team. Beyond that, the receiving team wins. - On a punt, a touchback takes the ball out of the 20. So any punt that results in the other team taking over from their goal line to their 20 is a win for the punting team. If the next change in field position is at least 40 yards, the punting team has also won the play. - A successful place kick is, obviously, a win for the kicking team. - Any play that results in a touchdown is, obviously, a win for that team that scores it. - A “victory play” where a team accepts a loss just to let the clock run out, is a win for the offensive team. I will indicate in parenthesis how many yards there were to go to get a new first down, (if other than 10), unless it was for no gain or negative yardage. If it was a touchdown, (“TD)” a scramble/sack (“S”) a victory play (“V”) or involved a penalty (P). I’ll treat a scramble or a sack as a passing play as the Cuse.com play by play now tells you when it’s either of those two. 1R means first down running plays. 1P means first down passing plays, etc. I have decided to list the “Big Plays” at the bottom of each team’s summary. A big play is a play from scrimmage of over 20 yards, (or 20+ yards lost), kickoff returns of +25 yards, punt returns of +20, blocked kicks, missed kicks, and turnovers on fumbles, interceptions and downs. When SYRACUSE had the ball: Drive Starts: SU 17, SU 35, SU 25, SU 29, SU 5, BC 35, SU 5, SU 19, SU 27, BC 37, BC 34, BC 46 = 410/12 = SU 34 with 790 yards to go. KO: BC 25, BC 32, BC 22, BC 25, BC 25, BC 25 Total: Syracuse 5 Boston College 1 P: Blocked, 41 to BC 42 Total: Syracuse 1 Boston College 1 FG: No Good from 40, Good from 47, Good from 20 Total: Syracuse 2 Boston College 1 XP: Try for 2 – No Good, Try for 2 – No Good, Kick- Good, Kick -Good Total: Syracuse 2 Boston College 2 Kicking plays total: Syracuse 10 Boston College 5 1r: 3, -3, 19, 5, 4, 4, -2, 19, 6, 0, 1, 9, 2, 10, 7, 6, 5TD, 4, 0v Total: Syracuse 13 Boston College 6 1p: 14, 17(12), 12, 19, 2, 4, 10, 8, 6, 23, -3(s), 26, 16, 8TD, 5 Total: Syracuse 13 Boston College 2 First Down Total: Syracuse 26 Boston College 8 2r: 10(5), -3(p), 6(12), 4912), 1(6), -6, 7(3), 3(4), 29TD Total: Syracuse 5 Boston College 4 2p: I, 6, -7(s), -3(s), 5(2), 14(13), 3(4), I, I, 12(1), 18(8), 58TD Total: Syracuse 7 Boston College 6 Second Down Total: Syracuse 12 Boston College 10 3r: 8(13), 9(8), 9(1) Total: Syracuse 2 Boston College 1 3p: -3(s)Fumble, I -13(s), I, 8(5), -4(s) Total: Syracuse 1 Boston College 5 Third Down Total: Syracuse 3 Boston College 6 4r: none Total: Syracuse 0 Boston College 0 4p: 0(s) (per Cuse.com Apparently a scramble back to the line of scrimmage is a sack.) Total: Syracuse 0 Boston College 1 Fourth Down Total: Syracuse 0 Boston College 1 Total on running plays: Syracuse 20 Boston College 11 Total on passing plays: Syracuse 21 Boston College 14 Total on plays from scrimmage: Syracuse 41 Boston College 25 Penalties not tacked on to plays: -5, -2, +5, -5, -10, -15, -5,-5, +15 Syracuse 2 Boston College 7 Game total when SYRACUSE had the ball: Syracuse 53 Boston College 37 Big Plays: 35KOR, Recovered Fumble, 23pts, 26pts, 58pass TD, Recovered Fumble, 29TD When BOSTON COLLEGE had the ball: Drive Starts: SU 17, SU 15, BC 22, BC 42, BC 25, BC 37, BC 32, BC 22, BC 25, BC 25, BC 25, BC 25 = 448/12 = BC 37 with 752 yards to go. KO: SU 17, SU 35, SU 25, SU 25, On-sides BC 46 Total: Syracuse 2 Boston College 3 P: 30 to SU 5, 32 to SU 5, 43 to SU 27 Total: Syracuse 0 Boston College 3 FG: Good from 28, No Good from 46, No Good from 45 Total: Syracuse 2 Boston College 1 XP: Kick- Good, Kick- Good, Try for 2 – No good. Total: Syracuse 1 Boston College 2 Kicking plays total: Syracuse 5 Boston College 9 1r: 6, 4, 3, 5, 6, 4, 0, 2, 6, 6, 5, 7, 8, 0, -1, 3(5), 5 Total: Syracuse 12 Boston College 7 1p: I, 33(5), 8, 6, 5, I, 13, I, I, 7, 3, 9, 3TD Total: Syracuse 8 Boston College 5 First Down Total: Syracuse 20 Boston College 12 2r: 6, 2(4), -3, 4, 1(4), -1, 1, 2(4), 794), -3, 0, 5TD, 4(2) Total: Syracuse 8 Boston College 6 2p: 7(6), -7(s)Fumble, 9(2), 12(4), I, 12(8), -79s), 5(11), -5(s)Fumble, I, 10, 9(7), 13(1), 7(5) Total: Syracuse 8 Boston College 7 Second Down Total: Syracuse 16 Boston College 13 3r: 4(1), 4(3), 2(2) Total: Syracuse 3 Boston College 0 3p: I, 7TD, I, 7(7), 5(21), 8(8), 8(20), 30(4), I, 5 Total: Syracuse 4 Boston College 6 Third Down Total: Syracuse 7 Boston College 6 4r: none Total: Syracuse 0 Boston College 0 4p: none Total: Syracuse 0 Boston College 0 Fourth Down Total: Syracuse 0 Boston College 0 Total on running plays: Syracuse 23 Boston College 13 Total on passing plays: Syracuse 20 Boston College 18 Total on plays from scrimmage: Syracuse 43 Boston College 31 Penalties not tacked on to plays: -5, +10, -5, -10, +11, -2, -1/2, 0 Syracuse 6 Boston College 2 Game total when BOSTON COLLEGE had the ball: Syracuse 54 Boston College 42 Big Plays: Recovered Fumble, Blocked Punt, 33 pass, 30 pass Overall Game Total: Syracuse 107 Boston College 79 Comments: We tore it up on 1st down (26-8), especially on passes (13-2). Our troubles came after that (15-17). We won this game 107-79 = +28 plays. The closest games to this in the Dino Babers era: 2016 Syracuse 101 Colgate 74 = +27 We won 33-7 2018 Syracuse 109 Connecticut 83 = +26 We won 51-21 2019 Syracuse 107 Duke 78 = +29 We won 49-6 2021 Syracuse 86 Ohio U. 63 = +23 We won 29-9 2022 Syracuse 89 North Carolina State 65 = +24 We won 24-9 This one should have been easier than it was. [/QUOTE]
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