Winning Plays - Wake Forest

[SWC75]

This season I will once again be charting Syracuse’s games in terms of “winning plays”. I look at the results of each play and decide which team got the minimum they wanted out of the play. Rather than making instinctive judgments, I use a formula:

- On first down, the offensive team wants to get at least a third of the way to a new first down: they will have two more plays before they might have to surrender the ball and if they gain that same amount of yards on each of those two plays, they’ll get the first down. If they don’t make it a third of the way to a new first down, the defense won the play.
- On second down, the offense wants to get at least halfway to a new first down by the same logic.
- On third and fourth down, they want to get the first down.
- Penalties, if added onto a play by the referees, are added on to the results above. If the offense gains 5 yards on first down but there was holding and they lost yardage instead, the defense won the play. If a running back made a 25 yard run on first and ten and the holding was 20 yards downfield, turning it into a 5 yard gain, that’s still a win for the offense. If the defense is penalized and it’s tacked on, again the net result is what is evaluated. The penalties I’ve listed negated the play entirely and are a “loss” for the penalized team and thus a win for their opponent.
- If a penalty was not tacked onto a play, it’s a lost play for the team being penalized. I'll count them separate from the other plays from scrimmage because I don't know if the intended play before the penalty would have been a run or a pass - so I wouldn't know where to put it in the chart below.
- A turnover is, obviously, a win for the team that wound up with the ball.
- On a kick-off a touchback brings the ball out to the 25 yard line. Teams still seem to be trying to kick the ball into the end zone and avoid a runback if they can, so any kick-off that results in the receiving team starting between their goal line and their 25 is a win for the kicking team. Beyond that, the receiving team wins.
- On a punt, a touchback takes the ball out of the 20. So any punt that results in the other team taking over from their goal line to their 20 is a win for the punting team. If the next change in field position is at least 40 yards, the punting team has also won the play.
- A successful place kick is, obviously, a win for the kicking team.
- Any play that results in a touchdown is, obviously, a win for that team that scores it.
- A “victory play” where a team accepts a loss just to let the clock run out, is a win for the offensive team.

I will indicate in parenthesis how many yards there were to go to get a new first down, (if other than 10), unless it was for no gain or negative yardage. If it was a touchdown, (“TD)” a scramble/sack (“S”) a victory play (“V”) or involved a penalty (P). I’ll treat a scramble or a sack as a passing play as the Cuse.com play by play now tells you when it’s either of those two. 1R means first down running plays. 1P means first down passing plays, etc.

I have decided to list the “Big Plays” at the bottom of each team’s summary. A big play is a play from scrimmage of over 20 yards, (or 20+ yards lost), kickoff returns of +25 yards, punt returns of +20, blocked kicks, missed kicks, and turnovers on fumbles, interceptions and downs.

When SYRACUSE had the ball:

Drive Starts: SU25, SU 41, SU 17, SU 25, SU 6, WF 45, SU 37, SU 15, SU 23, SU 24, SU 25, SU 20, WF 40 = 373/13 = SU 29 with 927 yards to go

KO: WF 25, WF 25, WF 25, WF 25, WF 25, WF 29(p)
Total: Syracuse 5 Wake Forest 1
P: 44 to WF 1, 17 to SU 35, 38 to WF 30, 29 to WF 45
Total: Syracuse 1 Wake Forest 3
FG: NG from 52, NG from 34
Total: Syracuse 0 Wake Forest 2
XP: Good, Good, Good, Good
Total: Syracuse 4 Wake Forest 0
Kicking plays total: Syracuse 10 Wake Forest 6

1r: 13, -1, 6, 9TD, 1, 10, 12, 2TD, 7, 4, -1v, 1, 0, 0, 1, 4, 17, 8TD
Total: Syracuse 10 Wake Forest 7
1p: 11, I, 2, I, 8, 44, 33TD, 30, 13, 18, 41TD, 25, I, I, I
Total: Syracuse 9 Wake Forest 6
First Down Total: Syracuse 19 Wake Forest 13
2r: -2, -2, 10(3), 11(9), -13, 2(6), 8
Total: Syracuse 3 Wake Forest 4
2p: 17, I, I, I, 43(2), -12(s), I, Interception-TD, I, I
Total: Syracuse 2 Wake Forest 8
Second Down Total: Syracuse 5 Wake Forest 12
3r: 10(20), 18(23), 39(2)
Total: Syracuse 1 Wake Forest 2
3p: 13(13), 9(4), I, -11(s), -12(s), 10(4), I
Total: Syracuse 3 Wake Forest 4
Third Down Total: Syracuse 4 Wake Forest 6
4r: none
Total: Syracuse 0 Wake Forest 0
4p: 24
Total: Syracuse 1 Wake Forest 0
Fourth Down Total: Syracuse 1 Wake Forest 0

Total on running plays: Syracuse 14 Wake Forest 13
Total on passing plays: Syracuse 15 Wake Forest 18
Total on plays from scrimmage: Syracuse 29 Wake Forest 31

Penalties not tacked on to plays: -10 Syracuse 0 Wake Forest 1

Game total when SYRACUSE had the ball: Syracuse 39 Wake Forest 38

Big Plays: 34kr, (45TD canceled for holding), 43pass, 44pass, 33passTD, 37kr, 30pass, 41passTD, 25pass, 43pr, 39run, 24pass


When WAKE FOREST had the ball:

Drive Starts: WF 25, WF 1 SU 35, WF 25, WF 25, WF 20, WF 25, WF 30, WF 45, WF 25, WF 29, WF 20 = 335/12 = WF 28 with 865 to go

KO: SU 25, SU 41, SU 25, WF 45, SU 37, SU 23, SU 24, SU 25
Total: Syracuse 3 Wake Forest 5
P: 47 to SU 17, 29 to SU 15, 25 to SU 20, -7 to WF
Total: Syracuse 1 Wake Forest 3
FG: Good from 33
Total: Syracuse 0 Wake Forest 1
XP: Good, Good, Good, Good, Good, Good
Total: Syracuse 0 Wake Forest 6
Kicking plays total: Syracuse 4 Wake Forest 15

1r: 17, 3, 9, 4, 4(5), 4, 18, 5, 3, 7, -8(s), 5, 11, 1, 7, 5, 7, 3, 8, 4, 4TD, 3, 7, 2(5), 3, 12, -1v
Total: Syracuse 9 Wake Forest 18
1p: I, 7, I, I, I, I, -7(s), 36, 9, 29TD, I, 7, 10TD, 11, I, I, 14
Total: Syracuse 9 Wake Forest 8
First Down Total: Syracuse 28 Wake Forest 26
2r: 592), 7, -3, 3, 4(1), 4(1), 10(5), 8(5), 2(30, 7(30, 5(2), 5(6), 4(3), 0, 3(7), 1(13)
Total: Syracuse 6 Wake Forest 10
2p: 3, 6, 11, 15(p), 12TD, 16(1), 4(6), 7(7), 10(3), 6(2), 16, 6(3), -5(s), I, 5, 17TD, -4(s), 9(7)
Total: Syracuse 4 Wake Forest 14
Second Down Total: Syracuse 10 Wake Forest 24
3r: 5(2), 6(3), 1(2), 391), 4(1), 7(4), 712)
Total: Syracuse 2 Wake Forest 5
3p: 10(6), I, 13(7), I, I, 11, 13(14), I
Total: Syracuse 5 Wake Forest 2
Third Down Total: Syracuse 7 Wake Forest 7
4r: 0, 2(1)
Total: Syracuse 1 Wake Forest 1
4p: none
Total: Syracuse 0 Wake Forest 0
Fourth Down Total: Syracuse 1 Wake Forest 1

Total on running plays: Syracuse 18 Wake Forest 34
Total on passing plays: Syracuse 18 Wake Forest 24
Total on plays from scrimmage: Syracuse 36 Wake Forest 58

Penalties not tacked on to plays: - ½, +5, -5, +8, +5, -5 Syracuse 3 Wake Forest 3

Game total when WAKE FOREST had the ball: Syracuse 43 Wake Forest 76

Big Plays: 36pass, 29passTD, Pick 6


Overall Game total: Syracuse 82 Wake Forest 114


Comments: What was that out there? Syracuse? Eight passes of over 20 yards, three for touchdowns, (one called back but it should not have been), a 39 yard run and three kick returns of 30+ yards. Where has that been? But for once the big play team, (the hare) lost to the tortoise. Wake had two big offensive plays but had twice as many successful offensive plays by my measure, (29-58). Hey had an incredible 36 first down to our 21 and had the ball 35 minutes to our 25.

For some reason our second down passing was a problem. We had two successful passes out of 10, six incompletions, a 12 yard sack and pick 6. Counting the interception return, we had a net 12 yards and -7 points. First down passes are the easiest to complete because defenses are expecting a run but Wake had 5 incompletions and a sack in their first 7 first down passes. But after that they had 7 completions, (including Wake’s only two 20+ yard plays), in 10 for 116 yards and two TDs. Their second down (14-4) and third down (5-2) passing was similarly productive.

But Wake wasn’t supposed to be able to run the ball but they were 34-18 on running game and rushed for 212 yards, 84 more than their average. In our sic game winning streak, we were 84-83 defending the run. In the five game losing streak, we’ve been 87-164.

There’s a similar split in the kicking game: On our kicks we were 86-11 during the winning streak and are 41-32 during the losing streak. On their kicks we were 27-38, then 15-67.

The last five games have been frustrating:
Syracuse 77 Clemson 102 = -25
Syracuse 66 Notre Dame 113 = -47
Syracuse 66 Pittsburgh 105 = -39
Syracuse 59 Florida State 100 = -41
Syracuse 82 Wake Forest 114 = -32

The games in the Babers Era most similar to this one:
2016 Syracuse 99 Louisville 132 = -33 We lost 28-62
2016 Syracuse 71 North Carolina State 103 = -32 We lost 20-35
2017 Syracuse 86 Miami 119 = -33 We lost 19-27
2019 Syracuse 82 Maryland 112 = -30 We lost 20-63
2020 Syracuse 76 North Carolina State 108 = -32 We lost 29-36

 

[SWC75]

SEASON TOTALS

When SYRACUSE had the ball:

Drive Starts: 341/10 = S34, 482/12 = S40, 302/11 = S27, 424/13 = S33, 368/10 =S37, 248/8 =S31, 290/12 = S24, 403/15 = S27, 348/13, 324/12 = S27, 373/13 = S27 TOTAL: 3,903/129 = S30 with 8,997 yards to go

KO: 4-2 + 9-0 + 6-0 + 5-1 + 8-2 + 5-0 + 3-1 + 3-2 + 3-2 + 1-1 + 5-1 = 52-12
P: 3-0 + 1-1 + 3-3 + 3-0 + 0-0 + 1-1 + 4-3 + 0-6 + 2-5 + 4-4 + 1-3 = 22-26
FG: 1-0 + 2-0 + 1-1 + 5-0 + 1-0 + 1-0 + 0-0 + 1-0 + 3-1 + 1-1 + 0-2 = 16-5
XP: 4-0 + 6-0 + 4-0 + 1-0 + 8-0 + 3-0 + 3-0 + 3-0 + 0-0 = 0-0 = 4-0 = 36-0
Kicking plays total: 12-2, 18-1, 14-4 + 14-1 + 17-2 + 10-1 + 10-4 + 7-8 + 8-8 + 6-6 + 10-6 = 126-43

1r: 15-5 + 15-10 + 9-7 + 6-15 + 16-3 + 7-9 + 7-6 + 5-8 + 4-4 + 11-3 + 10-7 = 105-77
1p: 7-5 + 7-4 + 7-7 + 6-7 + 11-0 + 5-7 + 7-6 + 6-8 + 6-6 + 1-5 + 9-6 = 72-61
First Down Total: 22-10 + 22-14 + 16-14 + 12-22 + 27-3 + 12-16 + 14-12 + 11-16 + 10-10 + 12-8 + 19-13 = 177-138
2r: 8-3 + 10-7 + 7-7 + 3-6 + 7-4 + 7-2 + 4-1 + 2-2 + 3-4 + 4-6 + 3-4 = 58-46
2p: 7-5 + 9-3 + 3-5 + 7-5 + 6-0 + 9-2 + 6-6 + 4-10 + 1-7 + 1-5 + 2-8 = 55-56
Second Down Total: 15-8 + 19-10 + 10-12 + 10-11 + 13-4 + 16-4 + 10-7 + 6-12 + 4-11 + 5-11 + 5-12 = 113-102
3r: 7-2 + 4-0 + 1-2 + 2-3 + 6-2 + 3-2 + 2-2 + 2-1 + 3-2 + 0-3 + 3-4 = 33-23
3p: 0-3 + 3-4 + 3-6 + 4-7 + 1-0 + 1-1 + 1-6 + 2-8 + 1-8 + 1-7 + 2-8 = 19-58
Third Down Total: 7-5 + 7-4 + 4-8 + 6-10 + 7-2 + 4-3 + 3-8 + 4-9 + 4-10 + 1-10 + 5-12 = 52-81
4r: 0-0 + 0-1 + 0-0 + 0-0 + 1-0 + 1-0 + 0-0 + 0-0 + 0-0 + 0-0 + 0-0 = 2-1
4p: 0-0 + 0-0 + 1-0 + 0-0 + 0-0 + 0-0 + 0-1 + 0-2 + 0-0 + 0-0 + 1-0 = 2-3
Fourth Down Total: 0-0 + 0-1 + 1-0 + 0-0 + 1-0 + 1-0 + 0-1 + 0-2 + 0-0 + 0-0 + 1-0 = 4-4

Total on running plays: 30-10 + 29-18 + 17-16 + 11-24 + 30-9 + 18-13 + 13-9 + 9-11 + 10-10 + 15-12 + 14-13 = 196-145
Total on passing plays: 14-13 + 19-11 + 14-18 + 17-19 + 18-0 + 15-10 + 14-19 + 12-28 + 8-21 + 3-17 + 15-18 = 149-174
Total on plays from scrimmage: 44-23 + 48-29 + 31-34 + 28-43 + 48-9 + 33-23 + 27-28 + 21-39 + 18-31 + 18-29 + 29-31 = 345-319

Penalties not tacked on to plays: 0-16 + 1-2 + 7-4 + 3-10 + 0-5 + 0-3 + 0-7 + 2-3 + 5-3 + 0-6 + 0-1 = 18-60

Game total when SYRACUSE had the ball: 56-41 + 67-32 + 52-42 + 45-54 + 65-16 + 43-27 + 37-39 + 30-50 + 31-42 + 24-41 + 39-38 = 489-422


When OPPONENT had the ball:

Drive Starts: 199/9 = L22, 269/11 = C24, 352/13 = P27, 556/14 = V40, 259/10 = W26, 229/9 = NCS 25 400/13 = C31, 628/19 = ND45, 461/13 = P35, 488/12 = FS41, 335/12 = WF28 TOTAL: 4,176/135= O31 with 9,324 yards to go

KO: 0-2 + 2-1 + 2-3 + 1-3 + 1-0 + 2-2 + 0-6 + 2-6 + 1-3 + 1-5 + 3-5 = 15-36
P: 1-2 + 3-3 + 1-2 + 0-4 + 7-2 + 1-3 + 0-2 + 1-3 + 4-3 + 0-3 + 1-3 = 19-30
FG: 0-0 + 0-0 + 1-1 + 2-0 + 0-0 + 0-3 + 0-2 + 0-3 + 0-1 + 1-1 + 0-1 = 4-12
XP: 0-1 + 0-2 + 2-2 + 1-2 + 0-0 + 0-0 + 1-2 + 0-5 + 0-2 + 0-5 + 0-6 = 4-27
Kicking plays total: 1-5 + 5-6 + 6-8 + 4-9 + 8-2 + 3-8 + 1-12 + 3-17 + 5-9 + 2-14 + 4-15 = 42-105

1r: 7-9 + 8-8 + 8-2 + 4-9 + 8-4 + 10-6 + 9-16 + 9-19 + 12-13 + 6-13 + 9-18 = 90-117
1p: 4-3 + 1-1 + 14-10 + 10-6 + 1-1 + 5-4 + 7-6 + 3-4 + 3-5 + 6-8 + 9-8 = 63-56
First Down Total: 11-12 + 9-9 + 22-12 + 14-15 + 9-5 + 15-10 + 16-22 + 12-23 + 15-18 + 12-21 + 18-26 = 153-173
2r: 3-5 + 5-4 + 3-4 + 3-7 + 7-3 + 3-4 + 7-18 + 8-12 + 2-13 + 5-11 + 6-10 = 52-91
2p: 7-3 + 2-3 + 6-13 + 7-7 + 3-0 + 9-6 + 3-2 + 1-3 + 4-4 + 5-5 + 4-14 = 51-60
Second Down Total: 10-8 + 7-7 + 9-17 + 10-14 + 10-3 + 12-10 + 10-20 + 9-15 + 6-17 + 10-16 + 10-24 = 103-151
3r: 3-2 + 0-3 + 1-2 + 0-1 + 5-2 + 3-5 + 3-4 + 3-4 + 3-4 + 1-1 + 2-5 = 24-33
3p: 3-3 + 6-2 + 5-8 + 9-2 + 4-0 + 7-1 + 5-2 + 6-2 + 3-5 + 4-3 + 5-2 = 57-30
Third Down Total: 6-5 + 6-5 + 6-10 + 9-3 + 9-2 + 10-6 + 8-6 + 9-6 + 6-9 + 5-4 + 7-7 = 81-63
4r: 2-0 + 0-0 + 1-1 + 0-0 + 0-0 + 0-2 + 1-2 + 0-1 + 0-0 + 0-0 + 1-1 = 5-7
4p: 0-0 + 1-0 + 0-0 + 1-1 + 0-0 + 1-1 + 0-0 + 0-0 + 0-0 + 1-1 + 0-0 = 4-3
Fourth Down Total: 2-0 + 1-0 + 1-1 + 1-1 + 0-0 + 1-3 + 1-2 + 0-1 + 0-0 + 1-1 + 1-1 = 9-10

Total on running plays: 15-16 + 13-15 + 13-9 + 7-17 + 20-9 + 16-17 + 20-40 + 20-36 + 17-30 + 12-25 + 18-34 = 171-248
Total on passing plays: 14-9 + 10-6 + 25-31 + 27-16 + 8-1 + 22-12 + 15-10 + 10-9 + 10-14 + 16-17 + 18-24 = 175-149
Total on plays from scrimmage: 29-25 + 23-21 + 38-40 + 34-33 + 28-10 + 38-29 + 35-50 + 30-45 + 27-44 + 28-42 + 36-58 = 346-397

Penalties not tacked on to plays: 6-2 + 1-0 + 3-2 + 5-3 + 2-0 + 5-1 + 4-1 + 3-1 + 3-0 + 5-3 + 3-3 = 40-16

Game total when OPPONENT had the ball: 36-32 + 29-27 + 47-50 + 43-45 + 38-12 + 46-38 + 40-63 + 36-63 + 35-53 + 35-59 + 43-76 = 428-518

Overall Game Totals: 92-73 + 96-59 + 99-92 + 88-99 + 103-28 + 89-65 + 77-102 + 66-113 + 66-105 + 59-100+ 82-114 = 917-950

Comments: In the six game winning streak, we kicked off 42 times and punted 16 times In the four game losing streak we’ve kicked off 22 times and punted 28 times. That’s not a good trend. Our punting, which was 15-8 through seven games is now 22-26 after going 7-18 the last two games. We were 95-15 on our kicking plays through the Clemson game. Since then, we are 31-28.

We are 290-240 on first and second down and 33-23 on third down runs, (which means they weren’t third and long). We are a pathetic 19-58 on third down passes but 57-30 against their third down passes. Third down passes are HARD. You need to either pass before then or run the ball so well that you can have third down runs.

Our advantage in the kicking game has been reduced to 126-43 vs. 105-42. We were 84-83 against opposition running plays prior to the Clemson game. We are 87-165 since.

 

[SWC75]

HISTORICAL WINNING PLAYS (Babers Era – game totals only)

2016
Syracuse 101 Colgate 74 = +27
Syracuse 99 Louisville 132 = -33
Syracuse 95 South Florida 116 = -21
Syracuse 91 Connecticut 99 = -8
Syracuse 98 Notre Dame 111 = -13
Syracuse 72 Wake Forest 101 = -29
Syracuse 103 Virginia Tech 104 = -1
Syracuse 93 Boston College 84 = +9
Syracuse 74 Clemson 120 = -46
Syracuse 71 North Carolina State 103 = -32
Syracuse 71 Florida State 120 = -49
Syracuse 107 Pittsburgh 118 = -11
TOTAL: Syracuse 1075 Opponent 1282 = -207 We 'won' 2 of 12 games.

2017
Syracuse 132 Central Connecticut 65 = +67
Syracuse 104 Middle Tennessee 98 = +6
Syracuse 107 Central Michigan 100 = +7
Syracuse 80 Louisiana State 103 = -23
Syracuse 93 North Carolina State 112 = -19
Syracuse 97 Pittsburgh 96 = +1
Syracuse 95 Clemson 97= -2
Syracuse 86 Miami 119 = -33
Syracuse 90 Florida State 108 = -18
Syracuse 120 Wake Forest 125 = -5
Syracuse 96 Louisville 100 = -4
Syracuse 77 Boston College 87 = -10
TOTAL: Syracuse 1177 Opponents 1210 = -33 We ‘won’ 4 of12 games

2018
Syracuse 109 Western Michigan 96 = +13
Syracuse 139 Wagner 65 = +74
Syracuse 113 Florida State 77 = +36
Syracuse 109 Connecticut 83 = +26
Syracuse 86 Clemson 102= -16
Syracuse 99 Pittsburgh 97 = +2
Syracuse 113 North Carolina 115 = -2
Syracuse 113 North Carolina State 96 = +17
Syracuse 117 Wake Forest 107 = +10
Syracuse 124 Louisville 83 = +41
Syracuse 86 Notre Dame 99 = -13
Syracuse 110 Boston College 96 = +14
Syracuse 116 West Virginia 79 +37
TOTAL: Syracuse 1434 Opponents 1195 = +239 We ‘won’ 10 of 13 games

2019
Syracuse 104 Liberty 84 = +20
Syracuse 82 Maryland 112 = -30
Syracuse 77 Clemson 113 = -36
Syracuse 113 Western Michigan 99 =+14
Syracuse 110 Holy Cross 67 = +43
Syracuse 78 North Carolina State 100 = -22
Syracuse 92 Pittsburgh 114 = -22
Syracuse 96 Florida State 115 = -19
Syracuse 76 Boston College 119 = -43
Syracuse 107 Duke 78 = +29
Syracuse 85 Louisville 104 = -19
Syracuse 118 Wake Forest 111 = +7
TOTAL: Syracuse 1138 Opponents 1216 = -78 We ‘won’ 5 of 12 games

2020
Syracuse 70 North Carolina 114 = -44
Syracuse 78 Pittsburgh 89 = -11
Syracuse 108 Georgia Tech 102 = +6
Syracuse 79 Duke 114 = -35
Syracuse 77 Liberty 93 = -16
Syracuse 72 Clemson 112 = -40
Syracuse 76 Wake Forest 99 = -23
Syracuse 68 Boston College 96 = -28
Syracuse 76 Louisville 81 = -5
Syracuse 76 North Carolina State 108 = -32
Syracuse 82 Notre Dame 100 = -18
TOTAL: Syracuse 862 Opponents 1108 = -248 We ‘won’ 1 of 11 games

2021
Syracuse 86 Ohio U. 63 = +23
Syracuse 64 Rutgers 101 = -37
Syracuse 103 Albany 69 = +34
Syracuse 79 Liberty 83 = -4
Syracuse 79 Florida State 90 = -11
Syracuse 102 Wake Forest 92 = +10
Syracuse 79 Clemson 99 = -20
Syracuse 90 Virginia Tech 94 = -4
Syracuse 86 Boston College 79 = +7
Syracuse 56 Louisville 91 = -35
Syracuse 65 North Carolina State 88 = -23
Syracuse 67 Pittsburgh 95 = -28
TOTAL: Syracuse 956 opponents 1044 = -88 We ‘won’ 4 of 12 games

2022
Syracuse 92 Louisville 73 = +19
Syracuse 96 Connecticut 59 = +37
Syracuse 99 Purdue 92 = +7
Syracuse 88 Virginia 99 = -11
Syracuse 103 Wagner 28 = +75
Syracuse 89 North Carolina State 65 = +24
Syracuse 77 Clemson 102 = -25
Syracuse 66 Notre Dame 113 = -47
Syracuse 66 Pittsburgh 105 = -39
Syracuse 59 Florida State 100 = -41
Syracuse 82 Wake Forest 114 = -32 We’ve ‘won’ 5 of 11 games
TOTAL: Syracuse 917 opponents 950 = -33
Totals since 2016: Syracuse has won 7,559 plays, (48.6) and 30 games, (36.1%). The opposition has won 8,005 plays and 53 games. They’ve obtained their goals on 446 more plays than we have in 83 games, an average of 5.4 plays a game.