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Message: [QUOTE="IthacaMatt, post: 4583959, member: 405"] Yep. Sports is all about momentum. Teams will regress to the mean over a whole season, but with the zone, once a team figures it out, they will light it up for the rest of that game, unless we make good adjustments. Boeheim used to say he liked when teams made a couple early because it was "fool's gold" and we would adjust to take away that shooter, or that entry pass, etc. But now, there are just too many good outside shooters, and pretty much every Division 1 school has several of them. So, when a team has a guy who is [I]not[/I] the star player start hitting shots from three, then it becomes "catching", the defense is forced to scramble (he's not the guy the scouting report told them to cheat towards...), and that leads to more open shooters, and they all have increasing confidence as more of them make open shots. How many times have we seen it snowball? [/QUOTE]