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Message: [QUOTE="Cusefannotindc, post: 2973924, member: 1567"] This had me curious, so I pulled all SU games during that time frame (conveniently exactly what is available on sports reference play index tool) to analyze what stats influenced losses. What I found is that rebounding matters but is not enough to cause a loss. SU has 222 wins and 97 losses (70% win pct) during that time. The main split is on opponent's field goal percentage, when they shoot at or above 46% SU won just 26% of the time (19-53). If opponents are under 46%, SU has won 82% (204-43). Against hot shooting opponents, has mostly won by shooting even better, win 74% (17-6) when shooting better than 45% from the field and a 13-0 when keeping turnovers under 12. Failing to keep pace with opponents shooting efficiency, SU went 2-45. The most obvious way SU loses when keeping opponents under 46% fg, is a lack of offense. SU is 1-14 in the games where their fg is under 34%. They have a 87% win pct (202-31) in the games remaining games, where SU's fg% is over 34% and the opponent's is under 46%. This is where rebounding comes in, if SU has collected over 68% of opponent's misses, they win 98% of games (130-3). Now even when they allow their opponent to collect over a third of their misses on offense, SU is still winning 72% of games (72-28). Opponents need to get to the free throw line, and be away from the carrier dome to win though. If opponents have a free throw rate (FTA/FGA) of less than 39%, SU wins 85% of the time (58-10). When it rises to 39% or higher, opponents are winning 56% of the time (14-18). It is highly dependent on location though, at home SU is 11 and 2 in these games but on the road or at a neutral site they are 3-16. [/QUOTE]

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