Duke opens -14.5 over Syracuse...

[690West]

Lord have mercy. The early money will HAVE to be on the Cuse, just has to! If not, sigh.

 

[OrangeYaGladi]

Jeez...

 

[NineOneSeven]

LMAO.

 

[NineOneSeven]

You're lying.

 

[NineOneSeven]

How do I bet? I've never bet on sports in my life but how do I get in on this?

 

[690West]

You're lying.

haha. nope
http://www.vegasinsider.com/college...syracuse-@-duke.cfm/date/2-28-15/time/1900#BT

 

[JCDATHIRD]

pretty realistic line honestly. Duke covered in the Dome... and is just better. By alot. Dont play this one guys...

 

[jekelish]

pretty realistic line honestly. Duke covered in the Dome... and is just better. By alot. Dont play this one guys...

They just needed overtime to beat a 2-13 in the ACC Virginia Tech team.

Duke is better than us, yes. But let's not go overboard and say that, following that result, combined with our two recent wins over ranked opponents, a nearly 15 point line is realistic.

 

[Knicks411]

They just needed overtime to beat a 2-13 in the ACC Virginia Tech team.

Duke is better than us, yes. But let's not go overboard and say that, following that result, combined with our two recent wins over ranked opponents, a nearly 15 point line is realistic.

Pomeroy has 13. 14.5 may be a shade high, but the Pomeroy lines are usually pretty close to the vegas line, so I guess i can't quibble too much.
When was the last time we were getting this many?

(And you could also say a week ago we lost to a very meh team at home. I'd also play that Louisville is unlikely a top 25 team without Jones. Still, 2 TD is a lot)

 

[Macky44]

pretty realistic line honestly. Duke covered in the Dome... and is just better. By alot. Dont play this one guys...

This verbage is strangely familiar to tbcuse11...

 

[Jack Hall]

Go pin that in the Melo Center locker room bulletin board before the team leaves

 

[690West]

Pomeroy has 13. 14.5 may be a shade high, but the Pomeroy lines are usually pretty close to the vegas line, so I guess i can't quibble too much.
When was the last time we were getting this many?

(And you could also say a week ago we lost to a very meh team at home. I'd also play that Louisville is unlikely a top 25 team without Jones. Still, 2 TD is a lot)

I just went back all the way to 1997. The only 2 times we were close to this big an underdog were:

1. 2008 at Gtown +12(we lost in OT by 2)
2. 1998 vs. Duke in the tourney +13, Push lost by 13.

This year vs. Nova we were +10 and basically won that game...basically.

 

[Knicks411]

I just went back all the way to 1997. The only 2 times we were close to this big an underdog were:

1. 2008 at Gtown +12(we lost in OT by 2)
2. 1998 vs. Duke in the tourney +13, Push lost by 13.

Man I remember going to that Gtown game. Don't remember us getting 12 but when you consider the strengths of the two teams, it makes sense.

 

[690West]

Man I remember going to that Gtown game. Don't remember us getting 12 but when you consider the strengths of the two teams, it makes sense.

I was at that game too. I can't believe were getting 12 either.

 

[Cuseregular]

I'd bet your house on SU on this one (notice I said YOUR house)...

Seriously though the Cuse is not only gonna cover but they're gonna get the W says the swatami...(aka the italian swami)

 

[Knicks411]

690, do have all of the lines kept somewhere? Was trying to look at the 07 and 08 teams since those were the worst ones we had in a while, but the two best teams we played in 07 (Gtown and Pitt) we got at home. We went to Nova and Uconn in 06, any idea what the lines were then?

 

[690West]

690, do have all of the lines kept somewhere? Was trying to look at the 07 and 08 teams since those were the worst ones we had in a while, but the two best teams we played in 07 (Gtown and Pitt) we got at home. We went to Nova and Uconn in 06, any idea what the lines were then?

I use covers.com "past results" and just scroll through the dropdown for different years. The list only goes back to 97-98.
http://www.covers.com/pageLoader/pa...ncb/teams/pastresults/1997-1998/team2186.html

 

[HoustonCuse]

Holy crap, that is a lot of points. It 100% depends on how quick they foul Rak out. If the refs can eliminate him by the under 12 time out, then Duke will cover.

But honestly there are good reasons to think we have no hope:
1. XMas was not very good in game #1
2. Cooney is hurt
3. Roberson has clearly been affected by the assault and battery perpetrated on him by Pizzle
4. Absolutely no reason to expect 15+ from BJ (or anybody else from the bench)
5. Home cooking from officials

How realistic are these?
1. I think Xmas will have an outstanding game, lets say 22 points, 9 rebs
2. I expect Cooney will shoot 2 - 12 from three and finish with 10 points
3. I think Roberson will have 9 points and 8 rebounds
4. I expect BJ to get 6 points
5. Not sure here. On the one hand it seems that the refs have been shafting home teams lately and there should be incentive to let Okafor and Rak stay on the floor - I'm going to guess a push here with Rak fouling out with 3 minutes to play in the game

Totally honest prediction: we lose by 9 - 11 points. Should cover. If any of my predictions go significantly more in our favor we have a chance to pull off the upset.

 

[CraigForth]

This verbage is strangely familiar to tbcuse11...

So right about this

 

[Knicks411]

I use covers.com "past results" and just scroll through the dropdown for different years. The list only goes back to 97-98.
http://www.covers.com/pageLoader/pa...ncb/teams/pastresults/1997-1998/team2186.html

Thanks, so @Uconn that year was 12, and the BET game against them was 11.5.

 

[cliftonparksufan]

Lord have mercy. The early money will HAVE to be on the Cuse, just has to! If not, sigh.

I agree but Cuse is only 9-15-1 vs the spread the year. But as underdogs they are 5-2-1 and as road dogs they are 3-1-1. Of course, none of that should mean much unless you truly believe it does.

http://www.vegasinsider.com/college-basketball/teams/team-page.cfm/team/syracuse

 

[Madbiker]

Duke won by 8 in the Dome. If you minus out 3 points for home court that's an adjusted 11 and add 3 points to Duke for home court = 14. It's in the ballpark.

 

[jncuse]

I was expecting around 11-13.

Duke was recently an 8.5 point favourite vs UNC at home -- a better team in a rivalry game.

What is odd is that the last home game vs Clemson closed at -13. I guess some people expected Clemson to really take the air out of the ball.

 

[690West]

Down to 12.5 almost everywhere.

 

[nycfan]

I just went back all the way to 1997. The only 2 times we were close to this big an underdog were:

1. 2008 at Gtown +12(we lost in OT by 2)
2. 1998 vs. Duke in the tourney +13, Push lost by 13.

This year vs. Nova we were +10 and basically won that game...basically.

So the last spread that was actually higher had to be the '96 Championship game. If memory serves, I believe Kentucky was favored by 16 in that one.