This thing's pretty accurate short and long-term. It may come off one or two spots based on other moving parts.
This is from RPIForecast
View attachment 123786
That's not low 30s. And that's a long way to travel just beating BC and CU.
This thing's pretty accurate short and long-term. It may come off one or two spots based on other moving parts.
This is from RPIForecast
View attachment 123786
That's not low 30s. And that's a long way to travel just beating BC and CU.
Yeah I just can’t process an RPI in the 30s from beating BC and Clemson. Who knows.
The wildcard is how much the committee is going to value the RPI, regardless.
It’s going to be fascinating with SU, Louisville, Texas, Oklahoma, and Providence in particular down the stretch. Those five teams can be IN/OUT any given day. Right now Palm still has (updated an hr ago) SU in a First Four match against Texas. Depending on bid stealers (Penn St. for instance) and such it will be interesting to see if it comes down to Big 12 vs ACC for a couple of the last bids. The Big 12 is stronger than the ACC in almost every metric it seems.
All I can say is I'm a numbers guy (to a fault some will say). but I wouldn't rely on RPI Forecast if it was proving to be out of whack in the past.
I agree with most of your second paragraph except I would add the SEC to the equation. The Big 12 is certainly stronger then the ACC... it's almost impossible for a team to go 8-10 in the B12 and not have a resume that looks tourney worthy.
On another note, I think you posted yesterday a list of 4 or 5 teams that we need to win their conf tourney so they don't steal a bid. Can you list those again? I'm usually all over this stuff but needing a little help this year
Here are the bid stealer risks in my view.
Pac 12 (one of Arizona, USC, or Arizona St must win)
A-10 (one of Rhode Island or St. Bonaventure must win)
MWC - Nevada must win
CUSA - Middle Tennessee St must win
WCC - Gonzaga or St. Mary's must win
MVC - Loyola could get an at large, so best that they win.
Not listing the other conferences as it would be very tough for an outsider to get in from there.
Palm has us 2nd to last in with his latest bracket this morning playing Texas in a first 4 game.
NCAA Tournament Bracket Predictions - Bracketology - College Basketball
that's a much different claim than "syracuse has no chance for the tournament if they lose to BC"I will bet anyone a large amount of money or internet bragging points we don't make the tournament if we lose to BC .
I will bet anyone a large amount of money or internet bragging points we don't make the tournament if we lose to BC .
Poll rankings have nothing to do with the quadrants the committee is using.Trying to understand something here. SU is 0-6 versus the top 25. Lack of q.1 wins has been a knock placed on other bubble teams. How does that not affect SU?
Gotcha. Nice. Just out of curiosity...what do you think about Penn St if they beat Northwestern then beat Ohio St 2nd round of the Big 10 tourney? That would be 3 wins VS OSU. Longshot but that’s a potential scenario I worry about.
Clemson, who did most of their damage with Grantham, is currently 10th in RPI. That's a massive boost and would be our best RPI win by about 15 slots.Yeah I just can’t process an RPI in the 30s from beating BC and Clemson. Who knows.
Post #166 - I stated Low to Mid 30's
Post #170 - I stated Low to Mid 30's
35.6 is mid 30's
And that is pretty natural movements when you win 2 games in the RPI... especially a road game has a value of 1.4, and Clemson is currently RPI #10.
I will bet anyone a large amount of money or internet bragging points we don't make the tournament if we lose to BC .
Poll rankings have nothing to do with the quadrants the committee is using.
I want Uconn to lose every game everthanks ucon!
Then you don't understand how the quadrants work.I wasn't referencing poll rankings.