SWC75
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This is my statistical summary of the 2017-18 SU basketball team in their regular season games against the non-ACC teams on their schedule, 9the first 13 games)
Net Points
(points + rebounds + assists + steals + blocks minus missed field goals and free throws, turnovers and personal fouls; OE is “Offensive efficiency”: P-MFG-MFT; FG is “Floor Game”: NP – OE)
CENTERS
Paschal Chukwu 129 total Net Points
25.3m 9.2p 9.6r 0.4a 1.6s 5.1b = 25.9+ 1.8mfg 1.9mft 1.9to 4.5pf = 10.1- = 15.8NP 5.5OE 10.3FG
Bourama Sidibie 31 total NP
15.4m 9.9p 9.4r 0.5a 2.3s 2.3b = 24.4+ 2.1mfg 3.4mft 3.4to 7.5pf = 16.4- = 8.0NP 4.4OE 3.6FG
Comments: Paschal and Bourama were about equal as scorers and rebounders. Paschal was a superior shot-blocker. He also, (ironically) shot fouls better. He also had fewer turnovers and fouls. He’s a more experienced and taller player. Still, if Bourama had been able to play and develop normally, his numbers would surely have improved and we badly need him for depth. Hopefully, he’ll be able to come back and play for the team this year.
FORWARDS
Oshae Brissett 194 total NP
37.0m 19.8p 13.0r 1.5a 1.4s 0.7b = 36.4+ 10.8mfg 2.0mft 1.9to 2.3pf = 17.0 = 19.4NP 7.0OE 12.4FG
Marek Dolezaj 103 total NP
23.7m 8.8p 9.7r 3.1a 1.8s 1.6b = 25.0+ 2.6mfg 1.6mft 2.3to 4.5pf = 11.0- = 14.0NP 4.6OE 9.4FG
Matthew Moyer 72 total NP
20.2m 8.4p 9.3r 0.9a 0.9s 0.6b = 20.1+ 3.4mfg 1.4mft 1.5to 2.9pf = 9.2- = 10.9NP 3.6OE 7.3FG
Comments: All our forwards are capable of being productive. Oshae is still raw but the biggest talent. He’s the best rebounder we’ve had in years and he’s going to become a better and better scorer. Dolezaj lacks muscle and a jump shot but his instincts for the game are amazing and his hands are quick. Moyer is the second coming of Tyler Roberson: if he reboduns the ball, he will be effective. If not, he’ll be on the bench.
GUARDS
Frank Howard 153 total NP
36.8m 16.5p 3.9r 6.7a 2.5s 0.3b = 29.9+ 8.6mfg 1.3mft 4.4to 2.7pf = 17.0- = 12.9NP 6.6OE 6.3FG
Tyus Battle 164 total NP
37.2m 21.6p 3.1r 1.7a 1.8s 0.4b = 28.6+ 9.9mfg 0.8mft 2.1to 2.2pf = 15.0 = 13.6NP 10.9OE 2.7FG
Howard Washington 6 total NP
4.6m 4.0p 5.3r 4.0a 0.7s 0.7b = 14.7+ 6.7mfg 0.7mft 2.0to 2.0pf = 11.4- = 3.3NP -3.4OE 6.7FG
Geno Thorpe 19 total NP (no longer with team)
14.3m 16.7p 2.3r 2.8a 2.8s 0.0b = 24.6+ 11.2mfg 0.5mft 3.3to 3.3pf = 18.3- = 6.3NP 5.0OE 1.3FG
Comments: Tyus Battle is a scoring machine but doesn’t do a lot else. That’s OK: points are not over-rated. But I think he’s capable of more and has shown more signs of filling the stats sheet in recent games: He had 3 assists and 4 steals vs. Buffalo and 6 rebounds, 2 assists and 2 steals vs. Eastern Michigan. If he does more of that, he’ll be on some All-America listings. Can we teach an O-DOG new tricks? Frank Howard is a more erratic scorer but he hits some big shots and he does plenty of the “other things”. That includes both assists and turnovers and his 6.7-4.4 ratio isn’t what you’d like to see. Howard Washington has a good floor game but can’t score. Geno, we hardly knew ye…
Oshae Brissett has led us in NP 5 times. Frank Howard has led 4 times. Tyus Battle and Paschal Chukwu have led 2 times. Marek Dolezaj, Matthew Moyer and Bourama Sidibe have each led 1 time. (This includes ties.)
Awards
OFFENSIVE DUDE OF THE GAME (ODOG: points plus assists)
Tyus Battle has been the ODOG 8 times, Frank Howard 4 times and Oshae Brissett 1 time. Ty is the O-DOG for the season but just barely: 261p + 20a = 281 while Frank Howard had 197p + 80A = 277.
SCORING EFFICIENCY (Points minus field goal and free throw attempts)
Tyus Battle has been the most efficient scorer 9 times, Oshae Brissett twice and Marek Dolezaj, Frank Howard and Matthew Moyer 1 time each. Ty is easily the best for the season with 261p-120mfg – 10mft = 131. Frank Howard is second with 78 and Oshae Brissett 70.
SAT US DOWN (Who sat us down in each half)
Tyus Battle has sat us down 9 times, Frank Howard 8 times, Paschal Chukwu 4 times, Oshae Brissett 3 times and Matthew Moyer 2 times. The total time is 1980 seconds, an average of 1:16 seconds.
TACO BELL MVP (Who gets us to 70 points)
Frank Howard has gotten us tacos 6 times, Tyus Battle twice, Matthew Moyer and Geno Thorpe once each. Tacos have come with a total of 1034 seconds left in the game, (treating time in OT as a negative), an average of 1:43 left.
“MY MAN” (most minutes played in each game)
Tyus Battle has been the “Man” 8 times, Oshae Brissett 6 times, Frank Howard 5 times and Marek Dolezaj, and Matthew Moyer 1 time each. Tyus leads in the season average with 37.2 but Oshae Brissett is right behind him with 37.0 and Frank Howard has 36.8.
Team Stats
(“Winner” in bold – italics for both if tied)
POSSESSION
REBOUNDING
(Percentage of misses offensively rebounded)
We have won this stat 12 times. We are 10-1 in wins and 2-0 in losses.
In Wins: 162/388 = 41.7% vs. 114/410 = 27.8%
In Losses: 31/86 = 36.0% vs. 15/69 = 21.7%
Total: 193/474 = 40.7% vs. 129/479 = 2.69%
Comment: This is obviously the team’s strength.
EFFECTIVE OFFFENSIVE REBOUNDING
(second chance points divided by offensive rebounds)
We have won this stat 8 times. We are 7-4 in wins and 1-1 in losses
In Wins: 162/388 = 41.7% vs. 114/410 = 27.8%
In Losses: 31/86 = 36.0% vs. 15/69 = 21.7%
Total: 193/474 = 40.7% vs. 129/479 = 2.69%
UNFORCED TURNOVERS
(total minus other team’s steals = unforced)
We have led in this stat 1 time and been even once. We are 1-8-1 in wins and 0-2 in losses.
In Wins: 134-65 = 69 vs. 154-99 = 55
In Losses: 33-8 = 25 vs. 32-17 = 15
Total: 167-73 = 94 vs. 186-116 = 70
Comment: I guess we don’t have to worry about the unforced turnovers.
POINTS PER TAKEAWAY
(Points off turnovers/ the other team’s turnovers)
We have led in this stat 8 times. We are 8-3 in wins and 0-2 in losses.
In Wins: 184/154 = 1.195 vs. 136/134 = 1.015
In Losses: 25/32 = 0.781 vs. 35/33 = 1.061
Total: 209/186 = 1.124 vs. 171/167 = 1.024
UNSETTLED SITUATIONS
(Effective offensive rebounding + Points per Takeaway: [Second Chance Point + Points off Turnovers] divided by [Offensive Rebounds + Opposition Turnovers)
We have led in this stat 8 times. We are 8-3 in wins and 0-2 in losses.
In Wins: 348/315 = 1.105 vs. 231/240 = 0.9625
In Losses: 45/63 = 0.714 vs. 47/48 = 0.979
Total: 393/378 = 1.040 vs. 278/288 = 0.965
MANUFACTURED POSSESSIONS
(One team’s rebounds + the other team’s turnovers)
We have won this stat 12 times and it was even once. We are 10-0-1 in wins and 2-0 in losses
In Wins: 462 + 154 = 616 vs. 341 + 134= 475
In Losses: 85 + 32 = 117 vs. 70 + 33 = 103
Total: 547 + 186 = 733 vs. 411 + 167 = 578
Comment: this is a product of the rebounding. We are +20 in takeaways but +121 in boards.
SCORING
TWO POINT FIELD GOALS
We have led in this stat 11 times. We are 10-1 in wins and 1-1 in losses.
In Wins: 224/445 = 50.3% vs. 142/333 = 42.6%
In Losses: 27/70 = 38.6% vs. 27/61 = 44.3%
Total: 251/515 = 48.7% vs. 169/394 = 42.8%
Comment: Over the years this has always been the key shooting stat.
THREE POINT FIELD GOALS
We have led in this stat 6 times. We are 6-5 in wins and 0-2 in losses.
In Wins: 62/192 = 32.3% vs. 87/270 = 32.2%
In Losses: 9/46 = 19.6% vs. 18/49 = 36.7%
Total: 71/238 = 29.8% vs. 105/319 = 32.9%
FREE THROWS
We have led in this stat 4 times with 1 even. We are 4-6-1 in wins and 0-2 in losses.
In Wins: 185/266 = 69.5% vs. 134/187 = 71.6%
In Losses: 36/54 = 66.7% vs. 28/36 = 77.8%
Total: 221/320 = 69.1% vs. 162/223 = 72.6%
Comment: Our free throw percentage is lower but we are out-scoring our opposition at the line even in the losses.
POINTS IN THE PAINT
We have led in this stat 10 times. We are 9-2 in the wins and 1-1 in the losses.
In Wins: 350 vs. 248
In Losses: 52 vs. 46
Total: 402 vs. 294
POINTS OUTSIDE THE PAINT
(POP: total points minus points in the paint and free throws made)
We have led in this stat 6 times. We were 6-5 in wins and 0-2 in losses.
In Wins: 292 vs. 298
In Losses: 33 vs. 62
Total: 325 vs. 360
POINTS FROM THREE POINT RANGE
We have led in this stat 3 times with 1 even. We are 3-7-1 in wins and 0-2 in loses.
In Wins: 186 vs. 261
In Losses: 27 vs. 54
Total: 213 vs. 315
TWILIGHT ZONE
(POP minus points from treys)
We have led in this stat 9 times, with 1 even. We are 9-2 in the wins and 0-1-1 in the loses.
In Wins: 98 vs. 44
In Losses: 6 vs. 8
Total: 104 vs. 52
Comment: Interesting that this was more important to victory than the points scored from beyond the arc.
POINTS OFF TURNOVERS
We have led in this stat 10 times. We were 9-2 in wins and 1-1 in losses.
In Wins: 184 vs. 136
In Losses: 27 vs. 33
Total: 211 vs. 169
Comment: This is another big factor in our wins.
FAST BREAK POINTS
We have led in this stat 5 times and have been even once. We are 5-5-1 in wins and 0-2 in losses.
In Wins: 66 vs. 76
In Losses: 6 vs. 12
Total: 72 vs. 88
FAST BREAK PERCENTAGE
(Fast break points divided by defensive rebounds+blocks+steals)
We have led in this stat 5 times. We are 5-6 in wins and 0-2 in losses.
In Wins: 66/473= 14.0% vs. 76/346 = 22.0%
In Losses: 6/81 = 7.4% vs. 12/76 = 15.8%
Total: 72/554= 13.0% vs. 88/422 = 20.9%
Comment: Fast breaks are a nostalgic stat but not a critical one this year.
FIRST CHANCE POINTS
(total points minus second chance points, fast break points and made free throws)
We have led in this stat 6 times. We are 6-5 in wins and 0-2 in losses.
In Wins: 411 vs. 378
In Losses: 55 vs. 84
Total: 466 vs. 462
SECOND CHANCE POINTS
We have led in this stat 7 times and been even 1. We are 6-4-1 in wins and 1-1 in losses.
In Wins: 151 vs. 98
In Losses: 20 vs. 12
Total: 171 vs. 110
STARTER POINTS
We have led in this stat 9 times with one even. We are 9-2 in wins and 0-1-1 in losses.
In Wins: 687 vs. 524
In Losses: 105 vs. 122
Total: 792 vs. 646
Comment: Last year this stat was the leading predictor of victory.
BENCH POINTS
We have led in this stat 4 times. We are 3-8 in wins and 1-1 in losses.
In Wins: 132 vs. 155
In Losses: 12 vs. 14
Total: 144 vs. 169
ASSISTS
We have led in this stat 2 times. We are 2-9 in wins and 0-2 in losses.
In Wins: 146/286 = 51.0% vs. 172/229 = 75.1%
In Losses: 18/36 = 50.0% vs. 35/45 = 77.8%
Total: 164/322 = 50.9% vs. 207/274 = 75.5%
Comment: The most spectacular assists are for dunks or lay-ups but the most assists, period, come from jump shots and we aren’t very good at those last year.
OFFENSIVE EFFICIENCY
(total points divided by possessions)
We have won this stat 11 times. (The winning team virtually always wins it)
In Wins: 821/740 = 1.109 vs. 679/738 = 0.920
In Losses: 117/143 = 0.818 vs. 136/144 = 0.944
Total: 938/883 = 1.062 vs. 815/882 = 0.924
QUARTERLY BREAKS
In regulation, we’ve won 32 quarters, lost 17 and tied 3. We’ve scored at least 15 points 40 times and held the opposition under that 25 times in 52 quarters.
Totals: 209-171, 218-210, 232-200, 259-217 OT: 21-17
Average: 16-13, 17-16, 18-15, 20-17 OT: 10.5-8.5
FOULS
TWO POINT SHOTS (attempted) TO TIMES FOULED
We have led in this stat 5 times. We are 4-7 in the wins and 1-1 in the losses.
In Wins: 481/222 = 2.17 vs. 381/174 = 2.19
In Losses: 70/43 = 1.63 vs. 61/39 = 1.56
Total: 551/265 = 2.08 vs. 442/213 = 2.08
POINTS in PAINT TO TIMES FOULED
We have led in this stat 5 times. We are 4-7 in the wins and 1-1 in the losses.
In Wins: 350 /220 = 1.59 vs. 248/174 = 1.432
In Losses: 52/43 = 1.21 vs. 46/39 =1.18
Total: 402/263 = 1.53 vs. 294/213 = 1.38
FREE THROW ATTEMPTS/ TIMES FOULED
We have won this stat 10 times. We are 8-3 in the wins and 2-0 in the losses.
In Wins: 266/220 = 1.19 vs. 187/174 = 1.08
In Losses: 54/43 = 1.26 vs. 36/39 =0.92
Total: 320/263 = 1.20 vs. 223/213 = 1.05
Comment: there is no evidence of any consistent bias here. There’s also no evidence of the frequency of fouls impacting victory and defeat, (because they are so close: if they were biased, it would surely make a difference). Getting more free throws helps to produce more wins but we also had an advantage there in the losses.
Our formula for victory is to stick with our starters, hit two point shots, both in the paint and from the Twilight Zone, get to the line and rebound.
Net Points
(points + rebounds + assists + steals + blocks minus missed field goals and free throws, turnovers and personal fouls; OE is “Offensive efficiency”: P-MFG-MFT; FG is “Floor Game”: NP – OE)
CENTERS
Paschal Chukwu 129 total Net Points
25.3m 9.2p 9.6r 0.4a 1.6s 5.1b = 25.9+ 1.8mfg 1.9mft 1.9to 4.5pf = 10.1- = 15.8NP 5.5OE 10.3FG
Bourama Sidibie 31 total NP
15.4m 9.9p 9.4r 0.5a 2.3s 2.3b = 24.4+ 2.1mfg 3.4mft 3.4to 7.5pf = 16.4- = 8.0NP 4.4OE 3.6FG
Comments: Paschal and Bourama were about equal as scorers and rebounders. Paschal was a superior shot-blocker. He also, (ironically) shot fouls better. He also had fewer turnovers and fouls. He’s a more experienced and taller player. Still, if Bourama had been able to play and develop normally, his numbers would surely have improved and we badly need him for depth. Hopefully, he’ll be able to come back and play for the team this year.
FORWARDS
Oshae Brissett 194 total NP
37.0m 19.8p 13.0r 1.5a 1.4s 0.7b = 36.4+ 10.8mfg 2.0mft 1.9to 2.3pf = 17.0 = 19.4NP 7.0OE 12.4FG
Marek Dolezaj 103 total NP
23.7m 8.8p 9.7r 3.1a 1.8s 1.6b = 25.0+ 2.6mfg 1.6mft 2.3to 4.5pf = 11.0- = 14.0NP 4.6OE 9.4FG
Matthew Moyer 72 total NP
20.2m 8.4p 9.3r 0.9a 0.9s 0.6b = 20.1+ 3.4mfg 1.4mft 1.5to 2.9pf = 9.2- = 10.9NP 3.6OE 7.3FG
Comments: All our forwards are capable of being productive. Oshae is still raw but the biggest talent. He’s the best rebounder we’ve had in years and he’s going to become a better and better scorer. Dolezaj lacks muscle and a jump shot but his instincts for the game are amazing and his hands are quick. Moyer is the second coming of Tyler Roberson: if he reboduns the ball, he will be effective. If not, he’ll be on the bench.
GUARDS
Frank Howard 153 total NP
36.8m 16.5p 3.9r 6.7a 2.5s 0.3b = 29.9+ 8.6mfg 1.3mft 4.4to 2.7pf = 17.0- = 12.9NP 6.6OE 6.3FG
Tyus Battle 164 total NP
37.2m 21.6p 3.1r 1.7a 1.8s 0.4b = 28.6+ 9.9mfg 0.8mft 2.1to 2.2pf = 15.0 = 13.6NP 10.9OE 2.7FG
Howard Washington 6 total NP
4.6m 4.0p 5.3r 4.0a 0.7s 0.7b = 14.7+ 6.7mfg 0.7mft 2.0to 2.0pf = 11.4- = 3.3NP -3.4OE 6.7FG
Geno Thorpe 19 total NP (no longer with team)
14.3m 16.7p 2.3r 2.8a 2.8s 0.0b = 24.6+ 11.2mfg 0.5mft 3.3to 3.3pf = 18.3- = 6.3NP 5.0OE 1.3FG
Comments: Tyus Battle is a scoring machine but doesn’t do a lot else. That’s OK: points are not over-rated. But I think he’s capable of more and has shown more signs of filling the stats sheet in recent games: He had 3 assists and 4 steals vs. Buffalo and 6 rebounds, 2 assists and 2 steals vs. Eastern Michigan. If he does more of that, he’ll be on some All-America listings. Can we teach an O-DOG new tricks? Frank Howard is a more erratic scorer but he hits some big shots and he does plenty of the “other things”. That includes both assists and turnovers and his 6.7-4.4 ratio isn’t what you’d like to see. Howard Washington has a good floor game but can’t score. Geno, we hardly knew ye…
Oshae Brissett has led us in NP 5 times. Frank Howard has led 4 times. Tyus Battle and Paschal Chukwu have led 2 times. Marek Dolezaj, Matthew Moyer and Bourama Sidibe have each led 1 time. (This includes ties.)
Awards
OFFENSIVE DUDE OF THE GAME (ODOG: points plus assists)
Tyus Battle has been the ODOG 8 times, Frank Howard 4 times and Oshae Brissett 1 time. Ty is the O-DOG for the season but just barely: 261p + 20a = 281 while Frank Howard had 197p + 80A = 277.
SCORING EFFICIENCY (Points minus field goal and free throw attempts)
Tyus Battle has been the most efficient scorer 9 times, Oshae Brissett twice and Marek Dolezaj, Frank Howard and Matthew Moyer 1 time each. Ty is easily the best for the season with 261p-120mfg – 10mft = 131. Frank Howard is second with 78 and Oshae Brissett 70.
SAT US DOWN (Who sat us down in each half)
Tyus Battle has sat us down 9 times, Frank Howard 8 times, Paschal Chukwu 4 times, Oshae Brissett 3 times and Matthew Moyer 2 times. The total time is 1980 seconds, an average of 1:16 seconds.
TACO BELL MVP (Who gets us to 70 points)
Frank Howard has gotten us tacos 6 times, Tyus Battle twice, Matthew Moyer and Geno Thorpe once each. Tacos have come with a total of 1034 seconds left in the game, (treating time in OT as a negative), an average of 1:43 left.
“MY MAN” (most minutes played in each game)
Tyus Battle has been the “Man” 8 times, Oshae Brissett 6 times, Frank Howard 5 times and Marek Dolezaj, and Matthew Moyer 1 time each. Tyus leads in the season average with 37.2 but Oshae Brissett is right behind him with 37.0 and Frank Howard has 36.8.
Team Stats
(“Winner” in bold – italics for both if tied)
POSSESSION
REBOUNDING
(Percentage of misses offensively rebounded)
We have won this stat 12 times. We are 10-1 in wins and 2-0 in losses.
In Wins: 162/388 = 41.7% vs. 114/410 = 27.8%
In Losses: 31/86 = 36.0% vs. 15/69 = 21.7%
Total: 193/474 = 40.7% vs. 129/479 = 2.69%
Comment: This is obviously the team’s strength.
EFFECTIVE OFFFENSIVE REBOUNDING
(second chance points divided by offensive rebounds)
We have won this stat 8 times. We are 7-4 in wins and 1-1 in losses
In Wins: 162/388 = 41.7% vs. 114/410 = 27.8%
In Losses: 31/86 = 36.0% vs. 15/69 = 21.7%
Total: 193/474 = 40.7% vs. 129/479 = 2.69%
UNFORCED TURNOVERS
(total minus other team’s steals = unforced)
We have led in this stat 1 time and been even once. We are 1-8-1 in wins and 0-2 in losses.
In Wins: 134-65 = 69 vs. 154-99 = 55
In Losses: 33-8 = 25 vs. 32-17 = 15
Total: 167-73 = 94 vs. 186-116 = 70
Comment: I guess we don’t have to worry about the unforced turnovers.
POINTS PER TAKEAWAY
(Points off turnovers/ the other team’s turnovers)
We have led in this stat 8 times. We are 8-3 in wins and 0-2 in losses.
In Wins: 184/154 = 1.195 vs. 136/134 = 1.015
In Losses: 25/32 = 0.781 vs. 35/33 = 1.061
Total: 209/186 = 1.124 vs. 171/167 = 1.024
UNSETTLED SITUATIONS
(Effective offensive rebounding + Points per Takeaway: [Second Chance Point + Points off Turnovers] divided by [Offensive Rebounds + Opposition Turnovers)
We have led in this stat 8 times. We are 8-3 in wins and 0-2 in losses.
In Wins: 348/315 = 1.105 vs. 231/240 = 0.9625
In Losses: 45/63 = 0.714 vs. 47/48 = 0.979
Total: 393/378 = 1.040 vs. 278/288 = 0.965
MANUFACTURED POSSESSIONS
(One team’s rebounds + the other team’s turnovers)
We have won this stat 12 times and it was even once. We are 10-0-1 in wins and 2-0 in losses
In Wins: 462 + 154 = 616 vs. 341 + 134= 475
In Losses: 85 + 32 = 117 vs. 70 + 33 = 103
Total: 547 + 186 = 733 vs. 411 + 167 = 578
Comment: this is a product of the rebounding. We are +20 in takeaways but +121 in boards.
SCORING
TWO POINT FIELD GOALS
We have led in this stat 11 times. We are 10-1 in wins and 1-1 in losses.
In Wins: 224/445 = 50.3% vs. 142/333 = 42.6%
In Losses: 27/70 = 38.6% vs. 27/61 = 44.3%
Total: 251/515 = 48.7% vs. 169/394 = 42.8%
Comment: Over the years this has always been the key shooting stat.
THREE POINT FIELD GOALS
We have led in this stat 6 times. We are 6-5 in wins and 0-2 in losses.
In Wins: 62/192 = 32.3% vs. 87/270 = 32.2%
In Losses: 9/46 = 19.6% vs. 18/49 = 36.7%
Total: 71/238 = 29.8% vs. 105/319 = 32.9%
FREE THROWS
We have led in this stat 4 times with 1 even. We are 4-6-1 in wins and 0-2 in losses.
In Wins: 185/266 = 69.5% vs. 134/187 = 71.6%
In Losses: 36/54 = 66.7% vs. 28/36 = 77.8%
Total: 221/320 = 69.1% vs. 162/223 = 72.6%
Comment: Our free throw percentage is lower but we are out-scoring our opposition at the line even in the losses.
POINTS IN THE PAINT
We have led in this stat 10 times. We are 9-2 in the wins and 1-1 in the losses.
In Wins: 350 vs. 248
In Losses: 52 vs. 46
Total: 402 vs. 294
POINTS OUTSIDE THE PAINT
(POP: total points minus points in the paint and free throws made)
We have led in this stat 6 times. We were 6-5 in wins and 0-2 in losses.
In Wins: 292 vs. 298
In Losses: 33 vs. 62
Total: 325 vs. 360
POINTS FROM THREE POINT RANGE
We have led in this stat 3 times with 1 even. We are 3-7-1 in wins and 0-2 in loses.
In Wins: 186 vs. 261
In Losses: 27 vs. 54
Total: 213 vs. 315
TWILIGHT ZONE
(POP minus points from treys)
We have led in this stat 9 times, with 1 even. We are 9-2 in the wins and 0-1-1 in the loses.
In Wins: 98 vs. 44
In Losses: 6 vs. 8
Total: 104 vs. 52
Comment: Interesting that this was more important to victory than the points scored from beyond the arc.
POINTS OFF TURNOVERS
We have led in this stat 10 times. We were 9-2 in wins and 1-1 in losses.
In Wins: 184 vs. 136
In Losses: 27 vs. 33
Total: 211 vs. 169
Comment: This is another big factor in our wins.
FAST BREAK POINTS
We have led in this stat 5 times and have been even once. We are 5-5-1 in wins and 0-2 in losses.
In Wins: 66 vs. 76
In Losses: 6 vs. 12
Total: 72 vs. 88
FAST BREAK PERCENTAGE
(Fast break points divided by defensive rebounds+blocks+steals)
We have led in this stat 5 times. We are 5-6 in wins and 0-2 in losses.
In Wins: 66/473= 14.0% vs. 76/346 = 22.0%
In Losses: 6/81 = 7.4% vs. 12/76 = 15.8%
Total: 72/554= 13.0% vs. 88/422 = 20.9%
Comment: Fast breaks are a nostalgic stat but not a critical one this year.
FIRST CHANCE POINTS
(total points minus second chance points, fast break points and made free throws)
We have led in this stat 6 times. We are 6-5 in wins and 0-2 in losses.
In Wins: 411 vs. 378
In Losses: 55 vs. 84
Total: 466 vs. 462
SECOND CHANCE POINTS
We have led in this stat 7 times and been even 1. We are 6-4-1 in wins and 1-1 in losses.
In Wins: 151 vs. 98
In Losses: 20 vs. 12
Total: 171 vs. 110
STARTER POINTS
We have led in this stat 9 times with one even. We are 9-2 in wins and 0-1-1 in losses.
In Wins: 687 vs. 524
In Losses: 105 vs. 122
Total: 792 vs. 646
Comment: Last year this stat was the leading predictor of victory.
BENCH POINTS
We have led in this stat 4 times. We are 3-8 in wins and 1-1 in losses.
In Wins: 132 vs. 155
In Losses: 12 vs. 14
Total: 144 vs. 169
ASSISTS
We have led in this stat 2 times. We are 2-9 in wins and 0-2 in losses.
In Wins: 146/286 = 51.0% vs. 172/229 = 75.1%
In Losses: 18/36 = 50.0% vs. 35/45 = 77.8%
Total: 164/322 = 50.9% vs. 207/274 = 75.5%
Comment: The most spectacular assists are for dunks or lay-ups but the most assists, period, come from jump shots and we aren’t very good at those last year.
OFFENSIVE EFFICIENCY
(total points divided by possessions)
We have won this stat 11 times. (The winning team virtually always wins it)
In Wins: 821/740 = 1.109 vs. 679/738 = 0.920
In Losses: 117/143 = 0.818 vs. 136/144 = 0.944
Total: 938/883 = 1.062 vs. 815/882 = 0.924
QUARTERLY BREAKS
In regulation, we’ve won 32 quarters, lost 17 and tied 3. We’ve scored at least 15 points 40 times and held the opposition under that 25 times in 52 quarters.
Totals: 209-171, 218-210, 232-200, 259-217 OT: 21-17
Average: 16-13, 17-16, 18-15, 20-17 OT: 10.5-8.5
FOULS
TWO POINT SHOTS (attempted) TO TIMES FOULED
We have led in this stat 5 times. We are 4-7 in the wins and 1-1 in the losses.
In Wins: 481/222 = 2.17 vs. 381/174 = 2.19
In Losses: 70/43 = 1.63 vs. 61/39 = 1.56
Total: 551/265 = 2.08 vs. 442/213 = 2.08
POINTS in PAINT TO TIMES FOULED
We have led in this stat 5 times. We are 4-7 in the wins and 1-1 in the losses.
In Wins: 350 /220 = 1.59 vs. 248/174 = 1.432
In Losses: 52/43 = 1.21 vs. 46/39 =1.18
Total: 402/263 = 1.53 vs. 294/213 = 1.38
FREE THROW ATTEMPTS/ TIMES FOULED
We have won this stat 10 times. We are 8-3 in the wins and 2-0 in the losses.
In Wins: 266/220 = 1.19 vs. 187/174 = 1.08
In Losses: 54/43 = 1.26 vs. 36/39 =0.92
Total: 320/263 = 1.20 vs. 223/213 = 1.05
Comment: there is no evidence of any consistent bias here. There’s also no evidence of the frequency of fouls impacting victory and defeat, (because they are so close: if they were biased, it would surely make a difference). Getting more free throws helps to produce more wins but we also had an advantage there in the losses.
Our formula for victory is to stick with our starters, hit two point shots, both in the paint and from the Twilight Zone, get to the line and rebound.
