2015 Schedule Breakdown

[TheCusian]

Slow day around the home office means an entirely premature schedule breakdown:

Sept 5th vs. Rhode Island (URI)
----
Last year:
1-14
Conference: CAA (FCS)
----
Common Opp
Villanova URI: L (21-44) / Cuse W (27-26)
----
Points Per Game: URI 12.5 / Opp 34.1


Sept 12th vs. Wake Forest
----
Last year:
3-9
Conference: ACC (1-7)
vs Ranked: 0-3
vs Cuse: L
----
Points Per Game: Wake 14.8 / Opp 26.4
#56 ranked schedule
Total Offense: #128 (out of 128)
Total Defense: #41 (out of 128)


Sept 19th vs. Central Michigan (CMU)
----
Last year:
7-6
Conference: MAC (5-3)
vs Ranked: 0-0
vs Cuse: L
----
Points Per Game: CMU 26.9 / Opp 25.2
#104 ranked schedule
Total Offense: #70 (out of 128)
Total Defense: #30 (out of 128)

Sept 26th vs. LSU
----
Last year:
8-5
Conference: SEC (4-4)
vs Ranked: 2-3
vs Cuse: N/A
----
Points Per Game: LSU 27.6 / Opp 17.5
#5 ranked schedule
Total Offense: #80 (out of 128)
Total Defense: #9 (out of 128)

Oct 10th @ South Florida (USF)
---
Last year:
4-8
Conference: AAC (4-4)
vs Ranked: 0-2
vs Cuse: N/A
----
Points Per Game: USF 17.2 / Opp 27.0
#75 ranked schedule
Total Offense: #121 (out of 128)
Total Defense: #71 (out of 128)

Oct 17th @ Virginia (UVA)
----
Last year:
5-7
Conference: ACC (3-5)
vs Ranked: 1-3
vs Cuse: N/A
----
Points Per Game: UVA 25.8 / Opp 24.1
#40 ranked schedule
Total Offense: #90 (out of 128)
Total Defense: #29 (out of 128)


Oct 24th vs. Pittsburgh (PITT)
----
Last year:
6-7
Conference: ACC (4-4)
vs Ranked: 0-1
vs Cuse: W
----
Points Per Game: PITT 31.8 / Opp 26.3
#64 ranked schedule
Total Offense: #43 (out of 128)
Total Defense: #34 (out of 128)

Oct 31st @ Florida State (FSU)
----
Last year:
13-1
Conference: ACC (8-0)
vs Ranked: 3-1
vs Cuse: W
----
Points Per Game: FSU 33.7 / Opp 25.6
#21 ranked schedule
Total Offense: #38 (out of 128)
Total Defense: #63 (out of 128)

Nov 7th @ Louisville
----
Last year:
9-4
Conference: ACC (5-3)
vs Ranked: 0-3
vs Cuse: W
---
Points Per Game: Lou 31.2 / Opp 21.8
#45 ranked schedule
Total Offense: #72 (out of 128)
Total Defense: #6 (out of 128)

Nov 14th vs. Clemson
----
Last year:
10-3
Conference: ACC (6-2)
vs Ranked: 1-3
vs Cuse: W
----
Points Per Game: Clem 30.8 / Opp 16.7
#48 ranked schedule
Total Offense: #61 (out of 128)
Total Defense: #1 (out of 128)

Nov 21st @ NC State
----
Last year:
8-5
Conference: ACC (3-5)
vs Ranked: 0-4
vs Cuse: W
----
Points Per Game: NCST 30.2 / Opp 27.0
#63 ranked schedule
Total Offense: #60 (out of 128)
Total Defense: #47 (out of 128)

Nov 28th @ Boston College
----
Last year:
7-6
Conference: ACC (4-4)
vs Ranked: 1-3
vs Cuse: W
----
Points Per Game: BC 26.2 / Opp 21.3
#57 ranked schedule
Total Offense: #83 (out of 128)
Total Defense: #11 (out of 128)

For the record (ugly, ugly record):
Syracuse
----
Last year:
3-9
Conference: ACC (1-7)
vs Ranked: 0-3
----
Points Per Game: Cuse 17.1 / Opp 24.3
#41 ranked schedule
Total Offense: #116 (out of 128)
Total Defense: #27 (out of 128)

 

[TheCusian]

And taking these numbers into account (and factoring personnel losses and coaching changes):

Easy -> Hard

1. URI
2. USF
3. Wake
4. CMU
5. Virginia
6. NC State
7. BC
8. Pitt
9. Louisville
10. FSU
11. Clemson
12. LSU

 

[javadoc]

And taking these numbers into account (and factoring personnel losses and coaching changes):

Easy -> Hard

1. URI
2. USF
3. Wake
4. CMU
5. Virginia
6. NC State
7. BC
8. Pitt
9. Louisville
10. FSU
11. Clemson
12. LSU

Lester had best get his shiite in order pronto, and someone has to provide competent QB play, because we have a chance to put together a solid year, which should keep recruiting on a nice trajectory.

 

[Chip]

And taking these numbers into account (and factoring personnel losses and coaching changes): Easy -> Hard 1. URI 2. USF 3. Wake 4. CMU 5. Virginia 6. NC State 7. BC 8. Pitt 9. Louisville 10. FSU 11. Clemson 12. LSU

I'd probably flip NC State and BC. Just based on the QB situation.

Of course, NC State's QB will be out by the time we play them because I'm a big bad voodoo meanie.

 

[Orangello]

I think you need to fix FSU's record (6-7)

 

[TheCusian]

I think you need to fix FSU's record (6-7)

Wishful thinking. Fixed.

Thanks.

 

[dinosaurbbq]

Just curious, but how did Pitt wind up 6-7 last year with the #43 ranked offense in FBS and #34 ranked defense in FBS? A Pythagorean expected record would have had to be something like 9 wins, right? Those rankings are better than FSU's.

From these rankings, ACC is an excellent defensive conference and we will be playing last year's defenses ranked #1, 6, 9, 11, 29, 30, 34, 41, 47, 63, and 71. No wonder our offense couldn't get on track!

You have FSU's record as 6-7/4-4 last year too. Either that's wrong or I did a lot of bad drugs and dreamed it differently.

 

[Chip]

Just curious, but how did Pitt wind up 6-7 last year with the #43 ranked offense in FBS and #34 ranked defense in FBS? A Pythagorean expected record would have had to be something like 9 wins, right? Those rankings are better than FSU's.

From these rankings, ACC is an excellent defensive conference and we will be playing last year's defenses ranked #1, 6, 9, 11, 29, 30, 34, 41, 47, 63, and 71. No wonder our offense couldn't get on track!

You have FSU's record as 6-7/4-4 last year too. Either that's wrong or I did a lot of bad drugs and dreamed it differently.

Pitt lost 17 fumbles in the first 4 minutes against GT. 5 minutes into the game it was 28-0. 75% the Pitt fans probably weren't in their seats yet.

They also had a complete dud against Akron.

Other than that, just Pitt being Pitt. Losing close games and finishing 6-6.

They return the QB, Conner and Boyd, bring in a great defensive mind as HC. You'd think they'll be pretty good next year, but they'll figure out a way to 6-6 it.