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[QUOTE="jncuse, post: 3133366, member: 1969"]
Most MLB players start declining around 30 now.   Just like peak years are now a few years earlier in a career, so is the decline.  Of course there are exceptions to the rule.

Albies has 8 years remaining on his contract -- for $44 million TOTAL.

That is $236 million less than the "discounted contract" Betts will sign at.  That is a difference of $29.5 million annually a year!!

Right now Albies is a 5 WAR player while Betts is an 8 WAR player (used average of last 3 years).  Betts was only a 7 WAR this year, but thought a 3 year average would be more fair for comparison.   Albies is 22 so he should close that gap over the years.

Let's say that Betts is a 1-2 WAR better player over the next 8 years, which might be generous to Betts.  That is not worth $29.5 million a year.
 
The Braves can use that elsewhere and get much more then 1-2 WAR from it.

I certainly think the Red Sox can get a young player who has produced as much as Albies and a prospect for Betts.   It's not the production value that makes it a no go -- it's Albies contract.
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