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[QUOTE="fieldystick, post: 4257894, member: 8152"] The only things that the committee has done that I don't think the metrics support with their two mock top 10s are: 1) Rutgers at #5. I guess it's the upper limit of [I]reasonable[/I], but it feels like a stretch to me. At the time of the last top 10 they released, Rutgers had no top 10 wins, 3 top 20 wins, and their losses were to RPI 1/2. In general, the Ivy League teams have accomplished more to support a higher seed than Rutgers right now, and you are seeing this being reflected in IL's bracket - whereas I am and Stevens seems to be deferring to how the committee has shown its hand so far. 2) Jacksonville. Oh my goodness, don't get me started. There was nothing to support ever having Jacksonville in their first draft top 10 in early April. It has created a mess for them that they never would have had had it not been for that ranking. JU has zero case for an at-large by metrics if they lose to Richmond tomorrow, but the punditry will go wild over them being left out. They have 1 top 10 win, 3 top 20 wins, and very well could have 2 losses that end up being deemed "bad" (JHU and Utah). Their SOS is abysmal, and their RPI is in the 20s. It is not an exceptional résumé, even if you ignore the 24 beside their name in the RPI and only look at the key wins and losses. - Beyond these two things, their top 10 has more or less tracked with how I had the top 10 on the Monday before their reveals - maybe differing by one position here or there. To me, this suggests that we have returned to the largely metric-driven system that we used in 2019 and before. And yes, I feel strongly that Syracuse's results/metrics deserved a seed last year. After the actual top 6 seeds, which I had the same (different order), you were left with: Syracuse, Denver, Lehigh, Rutgers as reasonable options for the last two seeds. There's pretty much no question in my mind which of these four teams was the one with the most verifiably good wins/metrics. But... I'm trying to let 2021 go. There's no point in getting irritated over it at this point. [/QUOTE]
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