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[QUOTE="SWC75, post: 4235938, member: 289"]
I decided to look into subject of Mets starts and what they told us -or did not tell us - about how the season would go.

I decided to define April as the ‘start’:

1962     Opener: L    April: 2-10     Final: 40-120
1963    Opener: L    April: 7-12    Final: 51-111
1964    Opener: L    April: 2-10    Final: 53-109
1965    Opener: L    April: 6-10    Final: 50-112
1966    Opener: L    April: 5-6    Final: 66-95
1967    Opener: L    April: 6-11    Final: 61-101
1968    Opener: L    April: 7-9    Final: 73-89
1969    Opener: L     April: 9-11    Final: 100-62
1970    Opener: W    April: 10-9    Final: 83-79
[I]1971    Opener: W    April: 12-7    Final: 83-79[/I]
[B]1972    Opener: W    April: 8-4    Final: 83-73[/B]
[I]1973    Opener: W    April: 12-8    Final: 82-79[/I]
1974    Opener: L    April: 8-13    Final: 71-91
1975    Opener: W    April: 9-7    Final: 82-80
[I]1976    Opener: W    April: 13-7    Final: 86-76[/I]
1977    Opener: W    April: 8-9    Final: 64-98
1978    Opener: W    April: 10-12    Final: 66-96
1979    Opener: W    April: 8-10    Final: 63-99
1980    Opener: W    April: 6-10    Final: 67-95
1981    Opener: W    April: 4-10    Final: 41-62
1982    Opener: W    April: 10-10    Final: 65-97
1983    Opener: W    April: 6-11    Final: 68-94
[I]1984    Opener: L    April: 12-8    Final: 90-72[/I]
[B]1985    Opener: W    April: 12-6    Final: 98-64
1986    Opener: W    April: 13-3    Final: 108-54[/B]
1987    Opener: W    April: 11-9    Final: 92-70
[B]1988    Opener: W    April: 15-6    Final: 100-60[/B]
1989    Opener: W    April: 12-10    Final: 87-75
1990    Opener: L    April: 9-10    Final: 91-71
[I]1991    Opener: W    April: 12-8    Final: 77-84
1992    Opener: W    April: 13-9    Final: 72-90[/I]
1993    Opener: W    April: 8-13    Final: 59-103
1994    Opener: W    April: 11-11    Final: 55-58
1995    Opener: L    April: 2-3    Final: 69-75
1996    Opener: W    April: 11-13    Final: 71-91
1997    Opener: L    April: 12-14    Final: 88-74
1998    Opener: W    April: 13-12    Final: 88-74
[I]1999    Opener: L    April: 14-9    Final: 97-66[/I]
2000    Opener: L    April: 14-11    Final: 94-68
2001    Opener: W    April: 10-15    Final: 82-80
[I]2002    Opener: W    April: 16-10    Final: 75-86[/I]
2003    Opener: L    April: 11-16    Final: 66-95
2004    Opener: W    April: 9-14    Final: 71-91
2005    Opener: L    April: 11-13    Final: 83-79
[B]2006    Opener: W    April: 16-8    Final: 97-65[/B]
[I]2007    Opener: W    April: 15-9    Final: 88-74[/I]
2008    Opener: W    April: 14-12    Final: 89-73
2009    Opener: W    April: 9-12    Final: 70-92
[I]2010    Opener: W    April: 14-9    Final: 79-83[/I]
2011    Opener: L    April: 11-16    Final: 77-85
2012    Opener: W    April: 13-10    Final: 74-88
2013    Opener: W    April: 10-15    Final: 74-88
2014    Opener: L    April: 15-11    Final: 79-83
[I]2015    Opener: W    April: 15-8    Final: 90-72[/I]
[B]2016    Opener: L    April: 15-7    Final: 87-75[/B]
2017    Opener: W    April: 10-14    Final: 70-92
[I]2018    Opener: W    April: 17-9    Final: 77-85[/I]
2019    Opener: W    April: 15-14    Final: 86-76
2020    Opener: W    July: 3-5    Final: 26-34
2021    Opener: L    April: 10-11    Final: 77-85
2021    Opener: W    April: 2-0 so far    Final: ???

I debated what a ‘good’ start was. I finally decided to designate any time the Mets played .600, (supposedly pennant-winning) ball in the first month, it was a good start and if they won 2/3 of their games it was a ‘hot’ start. I designated the hot starts in bold and the good starts in italics.

There have been six ‘hot’ starts: 1972, 1985, 1986, 1988, 2006 and 2016. The first five of those started with wins in the opener and wound up with a better record than the previous year, (all winning years at least 10 games over .500). 2016 was the outlier: starting with a loss and ending up with a worse record, but 12 games over .500.

There have been twelve other ‘good’ starts: 1971, 1973, 1976, 1984, 1991, 1992, 1999, 2002, 2007, 2010, 2015 and 2018. Ten of them opened with wins. Six resulted in improved records. Seven resulted in winning records.

I think what we’re looking for is a ‘hot’ start.
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