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Message: [QUOTE="Orangezoo, post: 4385658, member: 237"] Analytical models are far from perfect. They are a tool but should never be considered a single source of truth. Forget their equation and let's take a look at a few things. 131- RBIs is 23 pct of the Mets scoring this year. The Mets outscored their opponent by 166 runs roughly an average margin of 1 per game. Take Pete away and replace with an average first baseman.. and you lose about 60 RBIs and arguably some of Pete's runs scored. With an average of 1 run per game margin- this would drop that down to a half to 3/4 margin per game approximately. No way you see 97 wins in that scenario. The math to get to that conclusion must be heavily flawed as even if you inject other variables to reverse engineer it and find correlation that doesn't make up the massive gap without his bat in the lineup. [/QUOTE]