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[QUOTE="wgdsr, post: 4643130, member: 7179"]
the path imo is still there, but the chances are probably low double digits even IF they right the ship AND don't get the aq.

5 and 1 or 6 and 1 from here moves their own record /rpi into the .570 to .575 range in a vacuum.  that's mid teens, probably.  those 6 or 7 games should (maybe) boost the other 75% as only colgate for now would ding their opp' record badly.  as of now, laf, bucknell, towson and hc are .36% of their outside calculation, and if they add only colgate (and draw navy in the quarters) it'll be a better chunk added with better opponents going forward than that big chunk. so might creep low double digits or 13 on rpi. on sos, they still have those other 3 (hc off already) to drop, plus with 16/17 games will have more.

they need to be army and boston fans. a holy cross win or 2 would help. navy loss will stick out like a sore thumb, but a new committee.

obviously it's a lot more feasible to win 3 in the pl tourney.  duh.
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