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Message: [QUOTE="A Clockwork Orange, post: 17893, member: 16"] If universities are looking to go to a 4 x 16 set up with the "best" 64 teams available, they're almost there. Here' what the landscape looks like right now: [U][B]SEC[/B][/U] 13 teams [U][B]Big 10[/B][/U] 12 teams [U][B]ACC[/B][/U] 14 teams [U][B]PAC 12[/B][/U] 12 teams That leaves 13 teams to still join. Here's the breakdown of teams still looking to join one of these leagues (I'm going to limit this to teams and conferences that have a realistic chance to join one of the "Big 4": [U][B]Big East[/B][/U] Rutgers West Virginia Louisville UConn USF Cincy [I](future members)[/I] [I]TCU[/I] [U][B]Big 12[/B][/U] Baylor Iowa State Kansas Kansas State Mizzou Oklahoma Oklahoma State Texas Texas Tech [U][B]Mountain West[/B][/U] [I](crossed out members are leaving the conference for the Big East)[/I] Air Force Boise State Colorado State New Mexico San Diego State [S]TCU[/S] UNLV Wyoming [I](future members)[/I] [I]Fresno State[/I] [I]Nevada[/I] [I]Hawaii[/I] [U][B]WAC[/B][/U] [I](crossed out members are leaving the conference for the MWC)[/I] [S]Fresno State[/S] [S]Hawaii[/S] Idaho Louisiana Tech [S]Nevada[/S] New Mexico State San Jose State Utah State [I](future members)[/I] [I]UT San Antonio[/I] [I]Texas State[/I] [U][B]Conference USA[/B][/U] UAB UCF ECU Marshall Memphis Southern Miss. Houston Rice SMU UTEP Tulane Tulsa [U][B]Independents[/B][/U] Notre Dame BYU [U][B]Others[/B][/U] Army Navy That leaves 49 teams for 13 spots. Let's assume no one from the WAC will go anywhere. That gets us down to 42 teams. Let's also assume no one from CUSA save the outside possibility of UCF gets in. That gets us to 31. I'm also going to assume no one from the MWC goes anywhere, except for the possibility of Boise State. That gets us to 22 teams for 13 spots. I will also assume that Army and Navy will be left out. So now we're down to 20. Here are those teams: [U][B]Big East[/B][/U] Rutgers West Virginia Louisville UConn USF Cincy [I](future members)[/I] [I]TCU[/I] [U][B]Big 12[/B][/U] Baylor Iowa State Kansas Kansas State Mizzou Oklahoma Oklahoma State Texas Texas Tech [U][B]Mountain West[/B][/U] Boise State [U][B]Conference USA[/B][/U] UCF [U][B]Independents[/B][/U] Notre Dame BYU So let's say the Pac 12 does take Oklahoma, Oklahoma State, Texas and Texas Tech. Lets also say Rutgers and UConn go to the ACC (maybe Notre Dame here, I just don't think Notre Dame will do it. And I'll make the leap based on rumor that the SEC takes WVU. That gets the SEC to 14, the ACC to 16 and the Pac 12 to 16. It leaves the SEC with two spots, and the Big 10 with 3. So we have five spots for these teams: [U][B]Big East[/B][/U] Louisville USF Cincy [I](future members)[/I] [I]TCU[/I] [U][B]Big 12[/B][/U] Baylor Iowa State Kansas Kansas State Mizzou [U][B]Mountain West[/B][/U] Boise State [U][B]Conference USA[/B][/U] UCF [U][B]Independents[/B][/U] Notre Dame BYU I think it makes sense that the Big 10 will get Notre Dame (someone will at some point). Mizzou, and Iowa State are naturals for the Big 10. So now the only conference we have is the SEC. The SEC has these choices at this point: [U][B]Big East[/B][/U] Louisville USF Cincy [I](future members)[/I] [I]TCU[/I] [U][B]Big 12[/B][/U] Baylor Kansas Kansas State [U][B]Mountain West[/B][/U] Boise State [U][B]Conference USA[/B][/U] UCF [U][B]Independents[/B][/U] BYU I can see TCU in the SEC, but no one else. I think all this points to the fact that one of the Big 4 conferences will still be raided (ACC seems the most likely culprit). It also means there are a lot of teams spread across the country with some great tradition in all sports that could potentially be left out in the cold. What it comes down to is what the SEC will do. That conference stirs the drink. If the Pac 12 does get the four Big 12 teams, it will be interesting to see what the SEC does at that point. This also makes abundantly clear that Notre Dame has two choices at this point: The ACC or the Big 10. So basically there are 10 teams out there that should REALLY be sweating bullets right now. They are: Louisville USF Cincy TCU Baylor Kansas Kansas State Boise State UCF BYU NOW, a 5x14 set up means six extra slots, who knows, maybe that's where we're headed although all the history on this subject has always been 4x16. It's going to be an interesting next couple of years. [/QUOTE]

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