SWC75
Bored Historian
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- Aug 26, 2011
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A couple of years back i made this post in a discussion of jump shots and assists:
"2010-11
We made 936 field goals, of which 222 were three pointers and 566 were assisted.
They made 788 field goals, of which 244 were three pointers and 499 were assisted.
That means that 23.7% of our made shots were three pointers and 60.5% were assisted.
That means that 31.0% of their made shots were three pointers and 63.3% were assisted.
2011-12
Us: 1005 fgm 233 trey 565 ast = 23.2% and 56.2%
Them: 795 fgm 235 trey 496 ast = 29.6% and 62.3%
2012-13
Us: 1007 fgm 233 trey 563 ast = 23.1% and 55.9%
Them: 794 fgm 246 trey 538 ast = 31.0% and 67.8%
2013-14
Us: 819 fgm 167 trey 402 ast = 20.4% and 49.0%
Them: 685 fgm 233 trey 438 ast = 34.0% and 63.9%
2014-15
Us: 763 fgm 155 trey 468 ast = 20.3% and 61.3%
Them: 699 fgm 203 trey 459 ast = 29.0% and 65.7%
2015-16
Us: 884 fgm 315 trey 448 ast = 35.6% and 50.7%
Them: 877 fgm 259 trey 575 ast = 29.5% and 64.8%
2016-17
Us: 894 fgm 300 trey 532 ast = 33.6% and 59.5%
Them: 867 fgm 295 trey 583 ast = 34.0% and 67.2%
2017-18 (so far)
Us: 366 fgm 83 trey 183 ast = 22.7% and 50.0%
Them: 317 fgm 124 trey 239 ast = 39.1% and 75.4%
I think it was CTO who commented several years ago when I was complaining about our lack of assists that assist come more often from jump shots than from lay-ups or dunks. They are most likely to be sideways or back out from inside rather than a pass inside in the half court set. If we ran like we used to we'd get a lot of them off of fast breaks and put up numbers like the Sherman Douglas era. But we are a half court basketball team these days. The concept makes sense since a jump shooter is less likely to dribble once he receivers the ball than a guy taking it to the hole. Anyway, CTO's observation has been born out by the numbers I see since then. In the above sample we have eight years and in 7 of them the team that scored the highest percentage of their baskets from the three point range, (and who also likely would have taken the most two point jump shots), had the highest assist percentage."
Today i'll add the observations that we won a majority of the games in these years, suggesting that a reliance on jump shots gets more assists but not more wins. Our defense is designed to force teams to rely on jump shots. At this level, there are fewer players who can make them consistently. i think our pattern of looking good when the jumpers are falling and bad when they don't will continue until we get an inside game that can compliment the jump shots.
"2010-11
We made 936 field goals, of which 222 were three pointers and 566 were assisted.
They made 788 field goals, of which 244 were three pointers and 499 were assisted.
That means that 23.7% of our made shots were three pointers and 60.5% were assisted.
That means that 31.0% of their made shots were three pointers and 63.3% were assisted.
2011-12
Us: 1005 fgm 233 trey 565 ast = 23.2% and 56.2%
Them: 795 fgm 235 trey 496 ast = 29.6% and 62.3%
2012-13
Us: 1007 fgm 233 trey 563 ast = 23.1% and 55.9%
Them: 794 fgm 246 trey 538 ast = 31.0% and 67.8%
2013-14
Us: 819 fgm 167 trey 402 ast = 20.4% and 49.0%
Them: 685 fgm 233 trey 438 ast = 34.0% and 63.9%
2014-15
Us: 763 fgm 155 trey 468 ast = 20.3% and 61.3%
Them: 699 fgm 203 trey 459 ast = 29.0% and 65.7%
2015-16
Us: 884 fgm 315 trey 448 ast = 35.6% and 50.7%
Them: 877 fgm 259 trey 575 ast = 29.5% and 64.8%
2016-17
Us: 894 fgm 300 trey 532 ast = 33.6% and 59.5%
Them: 867 fgm 295 trey 583 ast = 34.0% and 67.2%
2017-18 (so far)
Us: 366 fgm 83 trey 183 ast = 22.7% and 50.0%
Them: 317 fgm 124 trey 239 ast = 39.1% and 75.4%
I think it was CTO who commented several years ago when I was complaining about our lack of assists that assist come more often from jump shots than from lay-ups or dunks. They are most likely to be sideways or back out from inside rather than a pass inside in the half court set. If we ran like we used to we'd get a lot of them off of fast breaks and put up numbers like the Sherman Douglas era. But we are a half court basketball team these days. The concept makes sense since a jump shooter is less likely to dribble once he receivers the ball than a guy taking it to the hole. Anyway, CTO's observation has been born out by the numbers I see since then. In the above sample we have eight years and in 7 of them the team that scored the highest percentage of their baskets from the three point range, (and who also likely would have taken the most two point jump shots), had the highest assist percentage."
Today i'll add the observations that we won a majority of the games in these years, suggesting that a reliance on jump shots gets more assists but not more wins. Our defense is designed to force teams to rely on jump shots. At this level, there are fewer players who can make them consistently. i think our pattern of looking good when the jumpers are falling and bad when they don't will continue until we get an inside game that can compliment the jump shots.
