RF2044
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Well, we're about a quarter of the way through the season, and in many respects I'm still not sure what caliber of team we have. Some things have unfolded about how I expected, but the team has lagged behind in other dimensions where I expected them to do better. Here are some observations, starting with general and moving to more specific. And I qualify all of this by pointing out up front that I am one of the more optimistic posters on this board--so I don't intend this post to come across as negative as I'm sure it will be interpreted.
- I'm greatly concerned about our half court execution. We have a PG who predominates the ball and has a tendency to over dribble. If he isn't getting into the lane and getting passes that set up easy scoring opportunities, the entire offense seems to bog down and degenerate into one-on-one play. I think scoring points is going to be more difficult this year than expected.
- We get more shots blocked--as a TEAM--than any SU squad I can remember. Coleman, Triche, and CJ are the biggest culprits.
- The free throw shooting has been absurdly bad. It's already cost us one game, and will cost us others if we don't improve. On that note, I'm really at a loss to understand why Grant has been so bad from the charity stripe; kid seems to have a great stroke. In fact, we have the tools to be a good free throw shooting team, with MCW / Triche / CJ / Dirty as the principals; even Rak / Coleman have good form and should both be more effective from the FT line than they are.
- As a team, we don't shoot the ball as well as I expected from either mid-range or three. We have the components to be a reasonably good jump shooting team [with Dirty, Triche, MCW, Cooney, and to a lesser extent CJ and Grant], but so far we haven't gotten the job done. Need to improve in both areas [although I'm encouraged by CJ's mid-range shooting of late].
- I'm really concerned about how I see this team have a tendency to sulk when things aren't going well. I don't want to overstate this, but during the Alcorn State game there were several times when we'd turn the ball over or get blocked, and guys would half assed jog back up the court. We also seem to have lapses where we play half hearted defense. When we play aggressive, active in the zone, we are SO MUCH BETTER, and it generally translates into positive offensive play on the other end.
- I think that the Temple game exposed us a bit.
- The rebounding the last few games is another cause for concern. I certainly didn't expect our #1 status in rebounding differential to hold up for the duration of the season, but we simply have to be better. Temple not only killed us on the glass, they also outhustled us to every loose ball. Unacceptable in my book. You're always going to have games where shots aren't dropping or where offensive production is hard to come by, but the one thing you can ALWAYS control is the level of effort and intensity you play with. I'd really like to see our players demonstrate more collective intensity out there; hopefully this will pick up now that we're entering league play.
- Southerland has really come down to earth after a phenomenal start. I'm pleased that he is finding other ways to contribute when the three is taken away--rebounding, scoring in the paint, etc. I'd like to see him doing a better job moving without the ball, because we need to find ways to get him more looks.
- MCW is a special talent, but I think we need to dial back some of the hyperbole about him being elite. I know--funny to say on a day where he came within an eyelash of a triple double. But the specific areas I'd like to see him improve are: (1) eliminating the unforced turnovers--too many every game for my tastes, (2) doing a better job executing half court offensive sets, especially when the defense clamps down and points aren't easy to come by, and (3) finding ways to continue to be a disruptive defensive catalyst like he was earlier in the season.
- I keep harping on some of the same themes, but I am greatly concerned about our propensity to turn the ball over. Last year's team won multiple games by taking great care of the ball, especially in a few close games where the outcome could have gone either way. This year's team hemorrhages the ball at an alarming rate at times. Triche has been poor in this regard for a senior, but he isn't alone.
- Triche has the tools to be a very good offensive player for us. He has done a great job on the offensive boards [a trend we started seeing toward the end of last year], but he needs to do a better job shooting the ball. We need this guy to be a 37%+ three point shooter, and thus far he has underdelivered.
- MCW and Triche need to adjust a little, now that the caliber of competition is going to improve. Against the overmatched OOC teams, those guys could get into the lane and leave their feet and still make something happen that was net positive. Both need to be smarter from here on out and not overpenetrate or put themselves in bad positions with the ball. They could get away with some of that stuff against lesser opponents, but won't be able to in the Big East.
- I'm of the mindset that Triche has sufficient combo guard skills to chip in with ball handling and take some pressure off of MCW when we face pressure defenses, but thus far I've been underwhelmed when the ball is in his hands. Too many dopey turnovers, and his ball handling in general has been poor overall. Kid gets ripped 2 or 3 times per game, it seems like.
- Glad to see that CJ is starting to dial in from mid-range, but he needs to do a better job taking the ball to the rim. Kid is too explosive to get so many shots blocked, and would it kill him to mix in a right hand? And I don't want to see him taking any threes other than from the left baseline area--that's his comfortable spot. Rebounding has been pretty good for CJ--need that to continue to help shore up the deficiency there.
- Grant has really impressed me. Kid facially looks identical to his dad and uncle. Really looks ready to play. I think he's going to be a terrific stretch 4 in our system, especially when he puts on 15-20 pounds of muscle. I expected him to be solid, but to get squeezed out into MCW frosh type of minutes this year, but I think he's too good not to get some PT.
- Rak is showing flashes of offensive growth. Really like the hook shots, and he seems more comfortable facing up. Needs to do a better job rebounding and playing smart defense. And I was surprised during today's telecast to hear that he's #3 nationally in blocks per game at 2.3--that seems awfully low. Not that 2.3 bpg is low, just that this figure is third nationally. Usually, there are a couple guys at mid majors wracking up eye popping statistics with blocks.
- Coleman is struggling, especially on offense. I was hoping he'd be more ready to give us that consistent low post threat that the team desperately needs, but I'm not sure that it is fully going to manifest this year. In fact, I think that both Coleman and Rak are going to give us very solid interior production NEXT year. Hope it isn't a year too late.
- Cooney has shot poorly all year. I'm hoping that he will improve to the point where he offers us another complimentary shooter. I've liked his handle and ability to get into the lane, and his defense is better than what I'd expected. But overall he needs to shoot better, because as the only eligible scholarship guard on the bench he's going to garner PT this year.
- As a team, I think that to a man our players have a tendency to force--especially when things bog down. Actually, I take that back--because I don't think Keita and Grant show that tendency. But everybody else does.
- Speaking of Keita, he's really improved from a confidence standpoint. He's now finishing pretty much everything he's supposed to inside, and he seems like our best interior defender. Will be interesting to see how much he plays in the middle now that we're entering conference play.
- Given Coleman's struggles, I expect to see a lot of the lineup with CJ / Southerland playing alongside one big. Which I expect to be whichever of the three bigs is playing well any particular game.
- Last year's team played with a lot of swagger--they expected to win, and played like champions most of the time, getting tougher when things got tough. Not sure I see that type of character in this year's squad...yet.
- This team is at its best when we find ways to get easy scoring opportunities in transition. We need to do a better job rebounding and generating turnovers to run.
- Heading into the season, the biggest question marks I saw for how the team would perform were the following four things: (1) how well would MCW man the point and handle pressure defenses, (2) how would we shoot the ball collectively, (3) would either Coleman / Rak offer us consistent low post scoring, and (4) how well would we rebound the ball. I'm quite confident that #1 is being answered positively, but the jury is still out on the other three items. How well we improve in those areas will go a long way toward determining what this team's ultimate potential is, and whether or not they are elite.
- There's a lot of negative [mixed in with some positive] observations I list above, but the bottom line is that we are still 12-1, which is a great spot to be for a team that lost 4 key contributors off of last year's team. Many posters expressed the opinion that we might hit some speed bumps and lose more games along the path than last year's team did, but that we had the raw materials to develop into a more dangerous team by postseason. Well, we lost a game that we shouldn't have [even as poorly as we played], but we are positioned well heading into conference play. This is a year with no dominant teams; if we continue to show improvement, we have as good a shot as anybody to make a run.