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[QUOTE="cuse522, post: 2098215, member: 1149"]
Here's some help from RPIforecast.com on the value of those wins...

Current RPI: 80 (NCAA site has us at 79, so perhaps all of these will be one spot high)

In a vacuum (aka I removed the GT game to calculate the others, so each one is standing alone):
Beat Georgia Tech: 77
ACCT Win vs. Virginia: 68
ACCT Win vs. Virginia Tech: 69
ACCT Win vs. Miami: 69
ACCT Win vs. Duke: 66

Since they're all about the same, I'll just run  the ones below as if we get Virginia every time in the ACCT.

Beat Georgia Tech, Lose to Virginia: 80
Lose to Georgia Tech, Beat Virginia: 81

But, of course that leaves one more game...
Lose to Georgia Tech, Beat Virginia, Lose to UNC: 81 (odd, I thought it would improve our RPI just to play UNC on a neutral floor)

A win over Carolina would take us to 68, then a loss to someone else would drop us back to about 70.

But, if we beat Georgia Tech, beat the first round ACCT opponent (I used UVA), then lose to UNC, we go to 66.

That seems odd to me... That W, W, L is better for our RPI than a combination that includes a win over UNC. How is that possible?

Anyway, our upside appears to be mid 60s, our downside is low 80s in those scenarios...

Also if we lose to GT, stay in the 8/9 game and lose it, we'd go to 96. If we lose to GT, beat BC in the 10/15, then lose to the 7 seed (I stuck with UVA to keep it simple), we'd be at 95. Lose to GT, beat BC, beat the 7 (again UVA), lose to Louisville gives us 81.

[B]So if you think we need to be in the low 80s or better, we must win EITHER against GT, or win an ACCT game on Wednesday.[/B]
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