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Message: [QUOTE="SWC75, post: 2958299, member: 289"] This year I will be again charting how teams have done “against ranked teams”, which is something that always comes up at the end of the year when the arguments over who should be in the NCAA tournament start. As usual, this is not meant to end those arguments, just to give those making them something to look at in forming their opinions. This is just one thing to look at. But I think it’s a big thing. I’m going to do it a bit differently this year. The old procedure was that I would first grant teams playing ranked teams a certain number of points based on who they are playing. If you played the #1 team, (I use the AP- writer’s poll for continuity), you get 25 points. If you are playing the #2 team, you get 24 points, etc. down to getting 1 point for playing the #25 team. I call these “schedule points”. Here’s a chart to make it simple: 1-25, 2-24, 3-23, 4-22, 5-21, 6-20, 7-19, 8-18, 9-17, 10-16, 11-15, 12-14, 13-13, 14-12, 15-11, 16-10, 17-9, 18-8, 19-7, 20-6, 21-5, 22-4, 23-3, 24-2, 25-1. (Of course you can always just subtract the ranking from 26. That will work every time.) Then I look at the point differential in the actual game. If you defeated the ranked team, you add the number of points you won by to the schedule points. If you lost to that team, you subtract the margin you lost by from the schedule points. (I call these ‘game’ points.) The difference between this year and last year if that I didn’t count any deficit: if you got to zero, you got zero. This year I’m going to try to record negative points, too, so a team can get full ‘credit’ for a really bad performance. WEEK 19 Auburn beat #8 Tennessee 84-64 = +38 points St. Mary’s beat #1 Gonzaga 60-47 = +38 points Florida State beat #2 Virginia 69-59 = +34 points Cincinnati beat #11 Houston 69-57 = +27 points Tennessee beat #4 Kentucky 82-78 = +26 points Duke beat #12 Florida State 73-63 = +24 points Duke beat #3 North Carolina 74-73 = +24 points West Virginia beat #7 Texas Tech 79-74 = +24 points Iowa State beat #17 Kansas 78-66 = +21 points Michigan State beat #10 Michigan 65-60 = +21 points San Diego State beat #14 Nevada-Reno 65-56 = +21 points Florida beat #9 Louisiana State 76-73 = +20 points North Carolina lost to #5 Duke 73-74 = +20 points Michigan State beat #19 Wisconsin 67-55 = +19 points Iowa State beat #15 Kansas State 63-59 = +15 points Michigan lost to #6 Michigan State 60-65 = +15 points Minnesota beat #13 Purdue 75-73 = +15 points Kentucky lost to #8 Tennessee 78-82 = +14 points Nebraska beat #21 Maryland 69-61 = +13 points Ohio State lost to #6 Michigan State 70-77 = +13 points Florida State beat #16 Virginia Tech 65-63 = +12 points Memphis lost to #11 Houston 58-61 = +12 points Virginia Tech lost to #12 Florida State 63-65 = +12 points Florida State lost to #5 Duke 63-73 = +11 points Mississippi State lost to #8 Tennessee 76-83 = +11 points Louisville lost to #3 North Carolina 70-83 = +10 points Syracuse lost to #5 Duke 72-84 = +9 points Wisconsin lost to #6 Michigan State 55 -67 = +9 points Seton Hall beat #23 Marquette 81-79 = +5 points Alabama lost to #4 Kentucky 55-73 = +4 points Boise State lost to #14 Nevada-Reno 69-77 = +4 points Central Michigan lost to #18 Buffalo 81-85 = +4 points North Carolina State lost to #2 Virginia 56-76 = +4 points Virginia lost to #12 Florida State 59-69 = +4 points Nebraska lost to #19 Wisconsin 62-66 = +3 points Texas Christian lost to #15 Kansas State 61-70 = +2 points Florida lost to #22 Auburn 62-65 = +1 point Texas lost to #17 Kansas 57-65 = +1 point Pepperdine lost to #1 Gonzaga 74-100 = -1 point Seton hall lost to #25 Villanova 72-74 = -1 point Wichita State lost to #24 Cincinnati 63-66 = -1 point Xavier lost to #24 Villanova 67-71 = -3 points Iowa lost to #10 Michigan 53-74 = -5 points U of Miami lost to #16 Virginia Tech 56-71 = -5 points South Carolina lost to #22 Auburn 64-73 = -5 points West Virginia lost to #17 Kansas 74-88 = -5 points Bowling Green lost to #18 Buffalo 73-87 = -6 points Missouri lost to #22 Auburn 71-81 = -6 points UNC Greensboro lost to #20 Wofford 58-70 = -6 points Southern Methodist #24 Cincinnati 74-82 = -6 points Houston lost to #24 Cincinnati 57-69 = -10 points Providence lost to #25 Villanova 62-73 = -10 points Minnesota lost to #10 Michigan 49-76 = -11 points Tennessee lost to #22 Auburn 64-84 = -16 points Connecticut lost to #11 Houston 45-84 = -24 points Akron lost to #18 Buffalo 46-82 = -28 points St. John’s lost to #23 Marquette 54-86 = -29 points Comments: Two in-state rivalries that looked better than ever from the beginning this year were Michigan-Michigan State and Virginia-Virginia Tech. Michigan State a Virginia were just a bit better than their in-state rivals. A more established rivalry, 9on the national scene) was Duke-North Carolina. In that case, Duke pulled out the biggest of their three games and then beat FSU for the conference title. For all Syracuse’ struggles, we wound up with +90 points, which makes us the 19th best team in the country against ranked teams. We were 3-9 against teams who were ranked in the top 25 when we played them. We were outscored by a net 89 points in those games, or an average of 7 points, although the range was wild, (we beat Louisville by 20 and lost to Virginia by 26). I’m posting the entire results for the season to this point in case anyone wants to look at them before making predictions. I'll be combining this information with my "NCAA Seed Stats" formula for my sheet. THE TOP 25 Duke +277 points North Carolina +272 points Michigan State +260 points Michigan +195 points Virginia +187 points Louisville +166 points Iowa State +156 points Florida State +142 points Kentucky +138 points Kansas +134 points Auburn +112 points Tennessee +112 points Wisconsin +109 points Indiana +101 points Marquette +101 points Florida +97 points Louisiana State +93 points Virginia Tech +91 points Syracuse +90 points Texas +80 points Maryland +79 points Alabama +74 points Purdue +72 points Texas Tech +67 points Iowa +65 points The worst total so far is Tennessee Tech with -104 points Alphabetical Air Force 0 points Akron -20 points Alabama +74 points Alabama-Birmingham +8 points Alabama State -21 points Alcorn State -22 points Appalachian State -19 points Arizona +8 points Arizona State +59 points Arkansas +30 points Arkansas-Pine Bluff -5 points Army 0 points Auburn +112 points Austin Peay -20 points Ball State -22 points Baylor +6 points Binghamton +2 points Boise State +17 points Boston College +28 points Bowling Green +2 points Brigham Young -30 points Bryant -3 points Bucknell +9 points Buffalo +6 points Butler +1 points Cal State Bakersfield -15 points California +4 points California Baptist -15 points Canisius -30 points Central Arkansas -29 points Central Connecticut -41 points Central Florida +37 points Central Michigan -7 points Charleston -5 points Charleston Southern -5 points Chattanooga -35 points Cincinnati +27 points The Citadel -16 points Clemson +52 points Cleveland State -24 points Colorado State -17 points Connecticut +10 points Coppin State -61 points Creighton +42 points Dartmouth -35 points Davidson -28 points Dayton +18 points Denver -37 points De Paul +11 points Duke +277 points East Carolina -51 points East Tennessee State -5 points Eastern Kentucky -21 points Eastern Michigan -26 points Eastern Washington -46 points Elon -51 points Fairfield -31 points Florida +97 points Florida Gulf Coast -8 points Florida State +142 points Fort Wayne -20 points Fresno State +17 points Fullerton State -23 points Furman +26 points Gardner-Webb -17 points Georgetown +41 points George Washington -13 points Georgia -44 points Georgia State -11 points Georgia Tech -5 point Gonzaga +44 points Grand Canyon +12 points Grambling -21 points Green Bay -10 points Hartford -17 points Harvard -9 points High Point -5 points Houston +30 points Holy Cross -12 points Idaho State -18 points Illinois +43 points Indiana +101 points Iowa +65 points Iowa State +156 points Jacksonville -26 points Kansas +134 points Kansas State +65 points Kent State -19 points Kentucky +138 points Kennesaw State -1 point LaSalle -4 points Lehigh -5 points LeMoyne -25 points Lenoir Rhyne -25 points Lipscomb +17 points Little Rock -8 points Long Beach State -25 points Louisiana +9 points Louisiana-Monroe -6 points Louisiana State +93 points Louisiana Tech -3 points Louisville +166 points Loyola (Chicago) -4 points Loyola (Md.) -27 points Loyola Marymount +13 points Marist -23 points Marquette +101 points Marshall -14 points Maryland +79 points Maryland Eastern Shore -29 points Massachusetts -3 points McNeese State -9 points Memphis +6 points U of Miami +26 points Miami U. -17 points Michigan +195 points Michigan State +260points Middle Tennessee 0 points Milwaukee -14 points Minnesota +61 points Mississippi +62 points Mississippi College -34 points Mississippi State +51 points Missouri +14 points Monmouth -30 points Morehead State -4 points Morgan State -22 points Murray State +14 points Nebraska -2 points Nevada-Reno +12 points New Jersey Tech -17 points New Mexico +38 points New Mexico State +21 points Norfolk State -12 points North Alabama -26 points North Carolina A&T -9 points North Carolina Central -16 points North Carolina +272 points North Carolina State +57 points UNC Ashville -8 points UNC Greensboro -10 points UNC- Wilmington -56 points North Dakota -42 points North Dakota State -17 points North Florida -31 points Northern Iowa -19 points Northeastern -18 points Northern Illinois +4 points Northwestern +16 points Northwestern (Louisiana) State -20 points Notre Dame +26 points Oakland -14 points Ohio State +8 points Ohio U. -42 points Oklahoma -4 points Oklahoma State +17 points Old Dominion +7 points Oral Roberts -11 points Oregon +26 points Pacific -8 points Penn State +64 points Pennsylvania +10 points Pepperdine -5 points Pittsburgh +25 points Portland -2 points Portland State -15 points Presbyterian -23 points Princeton -17 points Providence -29 points Purdue +72 points Quinnipiac -16 points Radford +12 points Rio Grande Valley -10 points Robert Morris -36 points Rutgers +41 points St. Bonaventure -9 points St. Francis (Pa.) -62 points St. John’s +31 points St. Joseph’s -7 points Saint Louis -9 points St. Mary’s +30 points St. Peter’s -32 points Samford -24 points Sam Houston State -8 points San Diego +17 points San Diego State +29 points San Francisco +1 point San Jose State -23 points Santa Clara -51 points Savannah State -74 points Seton Hall +29 points South Alabama -28 points South Carolina +48 points South Carolina State -26 points South Carolina Upstate -13 points South Dakota -11 points South Dakota State +15 points South Florida +1 points SE Louisiana -28 points Southeast Missouri -2 points Southern California +9 points Southern Illinois +8 points Southern Methodist -9 points Southern University -35 points Stanford +4 points Stetson -41 points Syracuse +90 points Temple +20 points Tennessee +112 points Tennessee State +1 point Tennessee Tech -104 points Texas +80 points Texas A&M -8 points Texas A&M Corpus Christi -8 points UT Arlington -16 points Texas Christian +14 points Texas Southern -1 point Texas Tech +67 points Toledo -30 points Towson -10 points Troy -1 point Tulane -20 points Tulsa +7 points UCLA -5 points UNLV 0 points Utah -15 points Utah State +11 points Vanderbilt +17 points Vermont +8 points Villanova +65 points Virginia +187 points Virginia Commonwealth +14 points Virginia Military -27 points Virginia Tech +91 points Wake Forest -8 points Washington +17 points Western Carolina -15 points Western Kentucky +1 points Western Michigan +14 points West Virginia -7 points Wichita State -1 points William & Mary -11 points Winthrop +9 points Wisconsin +109 points Wofford +4 points Wright State +5 points Wyoming -14 points Xavier +22 points Yale -10 points Youngstown -8 points [/QUOTE]

Verification: What is a Syracuse fan's favorite color?